Oi Rio Pro forecast

Stu Nettle
Swellnet Dispatch

Approaching the halfway mark of the Championship Tour, the surfers now head to Brazil for the Oi Rio Pro - curiously held 100 kms away at Saquarema.

Brazil has a reputation for small, short-period beachbreaks, which is only partly true, reefbreaks are thin on the ground so most surfing is done over sand, however the surf is bigger and more consistent than what international commenters might guess. Large stretches of the Brazilian coastline face south and receive regular barrages of swell rounding Tierra del Fuego and pushing up the Atlantic, and Saquarema is one of them.

Last year, Barrinha, which is the back up location for the contest, had a bed of sand running parallel to the newly constructed breakwall, making for some of the better waves of the 2018 tour. The organisers moved the contest from the primary location of Itauna, at the eastern end of the beach, down to Barrinha for three days of the contest, including the finals.

Filipe Toledo, Barrinha, 2019 (WSL/Poullenot)

While we don't have any on-the-ground reports on the state of the Barrinha sand, we can say that the Oi Rio Pro will get moderate levels of swell through the first half of the waiting period.

The opening day is this Thursday, 20th June, and the event will kick off with clean 3-4 ft waves, however it'll be short-lived as the morning offshore will be interrupted by a sou-west change linked to a low spawning off the coast. The organisers may get a half-day of heats in if they wish.

The sou-west change will generate a large groundswell for Friday (see image below), getting up to 6 ft, but conditions will be poor with an onshore S/SE wind.

Saturday will dawn lumpy as the onshore eases and northerly winds (tending east-northeast) will move in and create cleaner conditions. The improved surface conditions will combine with a slow decline in size from 4-5ft Saturday, down to around 3ft+ on Sunday. It should be a great weekend of surfing, sand quality notwithstanding.

That takes us four days into the waiting period, and it's important to note here that the Oi Rio Pro has only a nine day waiting period. It's the shortest waiting period of the season....well, except for the Surf Ranch comp.

So, approaching the halfway mark the organisers should hopefully have two full days of competition completed, plus one or two half days to tick off the seeding and elimination rounds.

There are no new swells due through the early part of next week, meaning Monday and Tuesday will see the surf gradually declining in size before a new mid-period S/SE arrives sometime during the middle of the week. Pinning down the exact time is hard from this far out.

The organisers will be fixing their hopes on the quality of the mid-week swell to finish both the Men's and Women's contest in good waves.

Stay tuned to the comments below for any updates.

Also, if you're curious about how rockwalls can be shaped to help surfers, reread this 2018 article about Barrinha.

Comments

deckstrus's picture
deckstrus's picture
deckstrus commented Tuesday, 18 Jun 2019 at 3:18pm

Why such a short event window?

stunet's picture
stunet's picture
stunet commented Tuesday, 18 Jun 2019 at 3:33pm

Not sure. I can't find any explanation and there's no events immediately before or after it.

Also, I wrote that it had an eight day waiting period, but it's actually nine days, which still makes it the shortest of the year. And for a contest that's not known for good consistent waves it's a gamble.

By comparison, the Meo Portugal, which is a similar comp in that it's held in flukey beachbreaks, has a thirteen day waiting period.

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Tuesday, 18 Jun 2019 at 3:57pm

Why such a short event window? Let's be brutally honest. Brazil could have a 365 day waiting period and they'd still get shit waves and a toxic masculinity culture. Best keep the waiting period as short as possible so folks can get in and out of that shit-hole quickly.

"angry online, smiley in the brine"

Island Bay's picture
Island Bay's picture
Island Bay commented Tuesday, 18 Jun 2019 at 5:40pm

And did you watch last years comp, or are you just being especially happy?

stunet's picture
stunet's picture
stunet commented Tuesday, 18 Jun 2019 at 8:02pm

Check the 2:55 mark, VL. Yeah, just one wave, and it does nothing to kerb their macho culture, but what a wave, eh?

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Tuesday, 18 Jun 2019 at 8:07pm

Must admit. I completely missed last years comp in Brazil. Was too busy dodging boatloads of Brazilians in remote indonesia during the rio pro 2018 event.

"angry online, smiley in the brine"

deckstrus's picture
deckstrus's picture
deckstrus commented Wednesday, 19 Jun 2019 at 5:04pm

Last years comp was in Brazil was surprisingly one of the best of the season. Central Coast Jesus was ripping!
Ol Baldy hasn't been to Brazil in years I don't think - maybe that's why he's going this year lol

Adam71's picture
Adam71's picture
Adam71 commented Thursday, 20 Jun 2019 at 4:54pm

True, Great wave, it’s a mystery, Don’t the Women outnumber the blokes, 2-1 in Brazil? Why the ego fest?

Brian from Brissy's picture
Brian from Brissy's picture
Brian from Brissy commented Tuesday, 18 Jun 2019 at 10:23pm

The irony of your toxic masculinity comment isn't lost on anyone Walter

Nick Bone's picture
Nick Bone's picture
Nick Bone commented Tuesday, 18 Jun 2019 at 4:59pm

“well, except for the Surf Ranch comp.”

Off topic, but, wave pool. A quick google earth and would it be either a strong North or South wind that would ruin the party?

I pray for either. Some devil wind that rewrites Lemoore's wind history.

I am the bone

greyhound's picture
greyhound's picture
greyhound commented Tuesday, 18 Jun 2019 at 7:21pm

Surf rance comp. what a joke, I thought it was a 1 off. Unfortunately not.

wax-on-danielson's picture
wax-on-danielson's picture
wax-on-danielson commented Wednesday, 19 Jun 2019 at 7:11am

I think if the tour was purely about good waves the South American leg would probably be on the West Coast, Australia probably wouldn’t have three legs and Africa would have another comp instead of Europe. But hey, who buys all the surf shit?

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Wednesday, 19 Jun 2019 at 8:25am

Spot on wax-on-danielson. I'm old enough to remember the pro surf yawn-fests in the 80s when comps were designed to get as many on-beach spectators as possible. Some of the worst examples being Fistral Beach in summer and the night event on Cronulla Beach.
It looks like the WSL's business model is heading back in that direction, with VIP passes being prioritised over epic waves. Tahiti is the only event which isn't a general public spectator sport. The WSL dropped Fiji which is arguably the best competitive wave on the planet and they hold onto dubious locations due to spectator numbers and surf-ware consumer markets.

"angry online, smiley in the brine"

FreddyWaters's picture
FreddyWaters's picture
FreddyWaters commented Wednesday, 19 Jun 2019 at 8:48am

The mere fact that theres no CT event at Ulu's (High performance left that every goofy on the tour is wishing for, and perfect replacement for cloudbreak assuming government permits were the issue) or an event in the Ments is enough to show that wave quality isnt the driving force for WSL event organisers

wax-on-danielson's picture
wax-on-danielson's picture
wax-on-danielson commented Wednesday, 19 Jun 2019 at 9:25am

I’ve thought the same, ‘land of lefts’ and they hold it at the only right. Ever noticed how much better the goofys on tour surf on their backhand than the regular foot surfers?

crg's picture
crg's picture
crg commented Thursday, 20 Jun 2019 at 12:02pm

The event they had at Ulu's to finish the Margs comp had 7 out of 8 quarter finalists as natural footers and all 4 semi finalists natural footers. They seem to go ok when given the chance.

I'm not cheap,
But I'm free.

Jono's picture
Jono's picture
Jono commented Wednesday, 19 Jun 2019 at 12:22pm

A mate spotted Kelly surfing on the Tweed this morning. Not sure of the flight time from Gold Coast to Rio, but it could be a first indication that he's doing another no-show?

donweather's picture
donweather's picture
donweather commented Thursday, 20 Jun 2019 at 8:03am

Don't forget Brazil is a day behind us or close to it. He's also probably backing on the fact that WSL won't run Day 1.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Thursday, 20 Jun 2019 at 8:07am

Only half a day Don. Seeing this was yesterday morning and it'd take just over 24 hours to get there, he could have made it but you'd think he would be severely jet lagged.

Bnkref's picture
Bnkref's picture
Bnkref commented Wednesday, 19 Jun 2019 at 1:23pm

Doesn't he have a house up that way? He seems to be wanting to give it a real crack this year. I'd be surprised of a no-show. Will soon find out I guess.

Theboyhasnoname's picture
Theboyhasnoname's picture
Theboyhasnoname commented Wednesday, 19 Jun 2019 at 11:38pm

Vic Local. Gotta pull you up on the Macho thing. Unlike the rest of Latin America Brazil doesn't have that culture. I think you're confusing the term with an energetic and loud culture which can make it hard to get waves but that's probably us being lazy and a bit stiff

Island Bay's picture
Island Bay's picture
Island Bay commented Thursday, 20 Jun 2019 at 4:33am

Thank you, tbhnn.

Going to Brazil opens eyes - or even just having a chat to some guys in the lineup.

shoredump's picture
shoredump's picture
shoredump commented Thursday, 20 Jun 2019 at 6:22am

And do you realise you are seen as an Aussie bogan, everywhere you go? I wouldn’t be claiming any cultural high ground here VL. We are in the bottom half of the etiquette ladder

Island Bay's picture
Island Bay's picture
Island Bay commented Thursday, 20 Jun 2019 at 7:06am

Thankfully not always, Shoredump.

All the Aussies I shared the lineup with on a recent Mentawai trip were good surfers, knew the rules, didn't snake.

But in terms of stereotypes and not claiming high ground, you're absolutely right.

Spuddups's picture
Spuddups's picture
Spuddups commented Thursday, 20 Jun 2019 at 5:24pm

Spot on.

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Thursday, 20 Jun 2019 at 1:04pm

Fair point Shoredump.
The problems come with big groups of men travelling together. They tend to back mates no matter what. I've met plenty of great Brazzo surfers. they tend to travel in 1s and 2s. It's the boat loads that are OTT. Having said that, the worst group of surfers I've come across was from Newcastle. 10 Novocastrians vs 10 Brazzos at 8ft Desert Point. What a shitfight that was.

"angry online, smiley in the brine"

donweather's picture
donweather's picture
donweather commented Thursday, 20 Jun 2019 at 8:02am

Is DeSouza back for this event?

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 20 Jun 2019 at 12:20pm

WSL presser from this morning has him in Heat 3, against Kolohe Andino and Yago Dora.

jamespeach's picture
jamespeach's picture
jamespeach commented Thursday, 20 Jun 2019 at 5:36pm

Hopefully not, boring as f. Sub him for Jay Davies

Surfalot67's picture
Surfalot67's picture
Surfalot67 commented Friday, 21 Jun 2019 at 7:15am

Yep - the GOAT was there and just won a low scoring all USA round one heat. Isn't it great to see 9's being dropped for a wave where someone actually managed to do four turns. Yawn. That's was a 4 point something at any local boardriders club round. Please get this over and on to Jbay…