House prices

Blowin's picture
Blowin started the topic in Friday, 9 Dec 2016 at 10:27am

House prices - going to go up , down or sideways ?

Opinions and anecdotal stories if you could.

Cheers

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Monday, 20 Mar 2023 at 9:47pm

So, house prices up.

flollo's picture
flollo's picture
flollo Monday, 20 Mar 2023 at 10:29pm

Wow! What an article that was, epic. And it clearly explains that they will do anything to keep things liquid. Terminology changes but everything else is the same. I’ve been saying it for months - there will be no dooms day crisis as they will always find fancy ways to bail things out. These are not free markets, they are highly manipulated and the intervention is through the roof. Now, who, why can be debated forever…

flollo's picture
flollo's picture
flollo Monday, 20 Mar 2023 at 10:30pm

Mind as well use this for forecasting

flollo's picture
flollo's picture
flollo Monday, 20 Mar 2023 at 10:40pm

It also explains why every other developed country (more or less) follows FED. If a country doesn’t follow FED increase the deposits will move into the higher interest environment. And to make it worse, low returning bonds would be sold at the prospects of higher interest returns in the US. Capital flees the country and you have a crisis similar to this regional vs big bank scenario in the article. So many variables to consider, every decision manifests itself into dozens of different directions.

frog's picture
frog's picture
frog Tuesday, 21 Mar 2023 at 8:23am

Simple solutions to super complex situations - such as buy crypto as suggested in the link above - have their own risks:

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/fednow-instant-payments-are-coming-a...

"To make CBDCs widely accepted and even welcome, a few things have to happen first.

1.) Cryptocurrency has to fail. "

Crypto as a category is now seriously tainted. Bitcoin not so much. But if the Central Banks go all in on digital currency, their determination to kill crypto will know no bounds. Many ways to do that.

flollo's picture
flollo's picture
flollo Tuesday, 21 Mar 2023 at 10:44am

This is a good one

jayet-010's picture
jayet-010's picture
jayet-010 Tuesday, 21 Mar 2023 at 10:44am
frog wrote:

Simple solutions to super complex situations - such as buy crypto as suggested in the link above - have their own risks:

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/fednow-instant-payments-are-coming-a...

"To make CBDCs widely accepted and even welcome, a few things have to happen first.

1.) Cryptocurrency has to fail. "

Crypto as a category is now seriously tainted. Bitcoin not so much. But if the Central Banks go all in on digital currency, their determination to kill crypto will know no bounds. Many ways to do that.

Crypto won't fail.

More accurately ... decentralisation can't be killed. At most they can regulate it and create an environment that favours certain structures, but the pace of technology development is making it hard for traditional systems to keep up and stay ahead of the curve.

Disruption is a double edged sword.

donweather's picture
donweather's picture
donweather Tuesday, 21 Mar 2023 at 1:34pm
frog wrote:

Simple solutions to super complex situations - such as buy crypto as suggested in the link above - have their own risks:

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/fednow-instant-payments-are-coming-a...

"To make CBDCs widely accepted and even welcome, a few things have to happen first.

1.) Cryptocurrency has to fail. "

Crypto as a category is now seriously tainted. Bitcoin not so much. But if the Central Banks go all in on digital currency, their determination to kill crypto will know no bounds. Many ways to do that.

Banks are already killing off crypto. They’re not allowing you to buy crypto nor get payments from stablecoins into fiat into your bank account.

But that’s fine. Crypto was invented to give banks the finger. So the banks are allowed to give the finger back to crypto.

jayet-010's picture
jayet-010's picture
jayet-010 Tuesday, 21 Mar 2023 at 2:30pm
donweather wrote:
frog wrote:

Simple solutions to super complex situations - such as buy crypto as suggested in the link above - have their own risks:

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/fednow-instant-payments-are-coming-a...

"To make CBDCs widely accepted and even welcome, a few things have to happen first.

1.) Cryptocurrency has to fail. "

Crypto as a category is now seriously tainted. Bitcoin not so much. But if the Central Banks go all in on digital currency, their determination to kill crypto will know no bounds. Many ways to do that.

Banks are already killing off crypto. They’re not allowing you to buy crypto nor get payments from stablecoins into fiat into your bank account.

But that’s fine. Crypto was invented to give banks the finger. So the banks are allowed to give the finger back to crypto.

Dunno what bank you're with Don but, I have no problem moving money from fiat to crypto.

The more de-fi options that are available the less you'll need to transfer back to fiat to pay for goods and services.

velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno Tuesday, 21 Mar 2023 at 2:54pm
Craig wrote:

Wow I just semi digested that article. It's crazy what the US has just funded/allowed.

Crazy is normal in the Twilight Zone - where we've been since 2008. I mean, probably since the Greenspan put actually.

velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno Tuesday, 21 Mar 2023 at 3:03pm
flollo wrote:

Wow! What an article that was, epic. And it clearly explains that they will do anything to keep things liquid. Terminology changes but everything else is the same. I’ve been saying it for months - there will be no dooms day crisis as they will always find fancy ways to bail things out. These are not free markets, they are highly manipulated and the intervention is through the roof. Now, who, why can be debated forever…

Agree. Imagine actually having free markets...

It's quite clever how they've done it, if I read correctly instead of selling bonds to the Fed and getting new printed funds, they use their UST holdings - at HTM valuation - as collateral for a loan from the Fed, payable at the 1 year rate + 0.1%. This would mean there's a strong chance they make a loss on it over a year, so would dissuade banks to tap out the mechanism unless they can be sure they will profit over and above what they have to pay. But it does mean nearly unlimited liquidity if they have a run by their depositors. And it won't stop depositors just going to UST's at 4+% anyway, or money market funds for that matter.
As US regionals loan most into the real economy, that means Main St might see far less loans for their businesses, just as enough liquidity has been created to paper over the moon, in theory. Feel free to correct.

velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno Tuesday, 21 Mar 2023 at 3:02pm

With the BTC in AUD, anyone had a look at that chart? Usually, a rally has to be totally macking along for Swellnet's crypto thread to get regular updates, but someone should cross-post to it and mention what the response to this new policy has done.

Coaster's picture
Coaster's picture
Coaster Tuesday, 21 Mar 2023 at 9:43pm
jayet-010 wrote:

Dunno what bank you're with Don but, I have no problem moving money from fiat to crypto.

The more de-fi options that are available the less you'll need to transfer back to fiat to pay for goods and services.

What are some examples of goods and services that are you buying with your crypto, jayet-010?

How frequently do you buy goods and services with your crypto, and which coin(s) do you use?

troppo dichotomy's picture
troppo dichotomy's picture
troppo dichotomy Tuesday, 21 Mar 2023 at 11:05pm

I work retail.We've had times when the power goes out and customers with cash can still make transactions while credit card/phone customers go home empty handed.

Crypto is nothing but digitalized fiat toilet paper.
What happens when digital shit hits like electrical black out/computer system crash/hackers?

ctrl alt delete

Optimist's picture
Optimist's picture
Optimist Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 5:38am

Always pay in and trade in cash. If you’re out of practise get back into it and tell others to as well. If we don’t use it we will lose it and you will be a slave to whatever eftpos charges the banks dream up….if the computers aren’t down that is.

velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 7:56am

If it all goes to pot, power goes off and fiatskis are worth zilch, just go back to using 92.5% Australian junk silver (predecimal currency) - because each coin is a weight of a commodity.

lmao! a single threepence is almost worth a USD:

http://coinapps.com/silver/coin/australian/calculator/

post some guards around the Christmas pudding!

This link has the Oz weights easily visible:
https://www.australian-coins.com/silver-calculator/australian-silver-coi...

Can't print physical weight out of thin air, have to work to mine and refine it. Can't drop an ICO of more silver coins either or do a fork in it's blockchain
Completely anonymous as well!

flollo's picture
flollo's picture
flollo Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 10:50am

Hmmm, consolidation of power in the finance sector?

arcadia's picture
arcadia's picture
arcadia Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 11:03am
troppo dichotomy wrote:

I work retail.We've had times when the power goes out and customers with cash can still make transactions while credit card/phone customers go home empty handed.

The power was out here for a day and a half. We couldn't make any transactions, cash or otherwise because the cash registers are all electronic and can't be opened without power.

donweather's picture
donweather's picture
donweather Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 11:20am
jayet-010 wrote:
donweather wrote:
frog wrote:

Simple solutions to super complex situations - such as buy crypto as suggested in the link above - have their own risks:

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/fednow-instant-payments-are-coming-a...

"To make CBDCs widely accepted and even welcome, a few things have to happen first.

1.) Cryptocurrency has to fail. "

Crypto as a category is now seriously tainted. Bitcoin not so much. But if the Central Banks go all in on digital currency, their determination to kill crypto will know no bounds. Many ways to do that.

Banks are already killing off crypto. They’re not allowing you to buy crypto nor get payments from stablecoins into fiat into your bank account.

But that’s fine. Crypto was invented to give banks the finger. So the banks are allowed to give the finger back to crypto.

Dunno what bank you're with Don but, I have no problem moving money from fiat to crypto.

The more de-fi options that are available the less you'll need to transfer back to fiat to pay for goods and services.

I wasn’t referring to Aus banks. US and UK leading the crack down charge.

udo's picture
udo's picture
udo Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 12:25pm
freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 12:25pm

Thats Owen's development.

Bought for 1.5 million.

Hived into 4 units @ 6.5 each.

(he kept one, biz partner got one)

13 million, even with costs is a good earn.

dandandan's picture
dandandan's picture
dandandan Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 12:36pm

I'd like to suggest a new addition to the rules of surfing: landlords, property developers, and millionaires should not get set waves.

udo's picture
udo's picture
udo Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 1:01pm

5.1 mill i think Freeride..but still a gd Earner

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 1:19pm

$6.5??

Good lord.

truebluebasher's picture
truebluebasher's picture
truebluebasher Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 2:11pm

Today...the Housing crisis hits Home...no creeping ... kicks down yer front door it does.
Been worried sick about it!
For sure...can feel for fellow Aussies!

tbb's Outrageous Bodycorp Bill.

22 Feb $2,700 (Arrears) Wot! No...Never...go away ya crooks!
Phoned the Mobsters..."Yeah! You owe us big time mate...talk to the Committee!"

They say OZ Post is notoriously unreliable!
Pushin' tbb to bank online...something no banker would ever rely on! (True!)
Told 'em to turn on Telly & count the Multi million online data thefts each & every minute!
Also noted tbb has paid more Corp bills on time & longer than any in our complex!

22 March...Ok! How about ya give us...$1,480
Why! (tbb almost accepted this made up amount just to save his little finger!)

Committee Meeting....

22 March $860 [PAID] 10 days ahead of time > All Even! Checked Verified! All Good!

Hopefully they took tbb's payment record into account when realizing their error!

tbb urges the crew to be wary of Body Corp's Power Grab...
But be equally thankful when they lose their head of steam & come to their senses.
All are on notice...this is a crisis for each & all here & now!
Be on yer guard & get ready to defend yer home...they know yer age & can smell your fear!

tubeshooter's picture
tubeshooter's picture
tubeshooter Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 5:02pm
dandandan wrote:

I'd like to suggest a new addition to the rules of surfing: landlords, property developers, and millionaires should not get set waves.

I'll second that motion. And fading any of them , including real estate agents, into the pit should earn you priority on the next set.

flollo's picture
flollo's picture
flollo Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 5:23pm

So Owen sold and announced the retirement pretty much at the same time? He must’ve made a killing on that deal? Is it even built? Pictures on that link are still concept photos.

udo's picture
udo's picture
udo Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 5:50pm
freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 5:41pm
flollo wrote:

So Owen sold and announced the retirement pretty much at the same time? He must’ve made a killing on that deal? Is it even built? Pictures on that link are still concept photos.

Not built, no.

I did a drive by on the weekend.

flollo's picture
flollo's picture
flollo Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 10:31pm

That’s crazy. $6.5m and it’s not even built. I assume he received the deposit and the settlement at completion but still? Byron is slowly but surely turning into something like Australian Monte Carlo. It’s gone up everywhere but that area seems like XXX+!?

tubeshooter's picture
tubeshooter's picture
tubeshooter Wednesday, 22 Mar 2023 at 11:08pm

If I had a spare 6.5M I wouldn't t be buying that "sophisticated, yet casual" shitbox.
As far as the BS 'location, location, location' mantra goes,,, yeah nah.

"sophisticated, yet casual".. ffs So was the fibro and corrugated iron shack I used to live in after we bought the coffee machine.

truebluebasher's picture
truebluebasher's picture
truebluebasher Thursday, 23 Mar 2023 at 2:18am

Provinces usually attract wealthiest youngest o/s intake above own makeshift Population.
re: World's most Exclusive Provinces & Tax Havens fill this list of VIP Kingdoms.
Vatican 100% UAE 88% Qatar 77% Lichtenstein 68% Monaco 68% Luxembourg 47% Singapore etc....
Crew get the Picture > Sell out yer Sovereignty to 50% o/s residents > Join the VIP CLUB.

World's fastest growing Home Prices mirror fastest rising Migrant Growth.
Govts hooked on neverending younger wealthier pop supply fuels the Crisis

(Opposite)
Italy's falling Graph + spinning top effect...housing peak market is past it's prime income age.
See following age brackets falling away further each year = Prices drop from 100 Base > -65
https://www.populationpyramid.net/italy/2023/

Important! Less about age but all about fuelling younger migrating hyped Housing demand.
Vetting increasingly Higher Educated younger wealthier intake > Oz/Canada Housing Crisis
See Oz graph always rising > filling out supply lines as each age group meets Peak Loan Rates
Housing market is permanently on fire for next 100 years > 2025 o/s review but % still increases!
https://www.populationpyramid.net/australia/2023/

Here's the thing...only Island & Principalities swan this imported populous lifestyle...
Australia is first established nation racing to shop at the elite Price Docket Checkout!
Each & every year into the new Century Oz ages but grows more exotic, younger & wealthier!
By 2055 ...only foreigners will be able to afford to live here in their new Legit Sovereign Nation
That's Correct...Oz [Sold Out] Likely be owned & Governed by World Bank as a Yuppie Ark!

tbb will ID where the Rental / Housing blocks are then list reliable solutions

Australia's (Shopping Docket) These items drive Rental / Housing thru the roof!
* Largest Est' Nation with Highest 28% wealthier Migrant Population (1/2 Parents born overseas)
* Forecast 1st Large Nation to surrender Sovereignty to 50% younger wealthier foreigners by 2055.
Wait! This actually refers to over 50% Oz residents being born o/s...Aussie Born as minority species!
Meaning majority of voters can democratically run Oz from a nominated Swiss bank account.
* One of 3 Resourceful Nations forecast to continually grow into 2100 + (Canada / Tanzania)
Note: Not highest in Pop but most reliably bankable continuous upward growth trend...very rare indeed!
* 2nd highest world Millionaire migration intake (see above > #1 UAE #2 Oz #3 Singapore > All fits)
* Leading World Regions short term stays Rank #2 Byron (30% of Pop) / 3 Noosa / 4 Gold Coast
Yes! That's correct...Byron has 30% Airbnb Pop...(Qld Govt review are sweating to find likewise! Gulp!)
* Oz has World's Largest Student Intake! (27% of World Total o/s Students)
* Oz fastest growing highest rising SEQ Olympic sized Housing crisis has highest 28-37% o/s residents.
Migrants rapidly gravitate to CBD pockets > Bne > South > (7% NZ Pocket) > Gold Coast.

OZ Summer City Housing Crisis ( Continued...)
Peak Summer = 50% Higher occupancy than Winter Season
Bushfires / Floods / Cyclones / Storms
Govt Policy crowds majority of Family/Migration during Summer Peak > Skyrocketing Accom Crisis.
Migrant centres > Unis are in Cities & the whole shit show orchestrates a bigger crisis each year
Unions are pushing for migrant $90k yr min income > Institutes are campaigning for o/s open income

Ages > Accom
22.3yrs o/s Students > 97% rent in cities Syd > Mbne > Bne > Perth > Goldie > NSW regions > Ade.
22.7yrs Humanitarian Intake
25.9yrs Migrant Arrivals (total) > 86% live in Biggest Cities
26yrs NZ Migrants
27yrs Migrant Departures (total)
28.4yrs Oz Departures
28.9yrs Temp Migrant Workers
29yrs Oz returns
30yrs Oz (1982) Avg Age
30.5yrs Family Migrants
30.6yrs Skilled Migrant Workers
31.6yrs Visitor Visas
37.3yrs Oz (2023) Avg age > 65% live in cities
40yrs Oz (2030) Avg Age
60yrs tbb (Today) Official Hodad!

Crew can see that o/s workers are 10 years younger & highly skilled.
o/s Workers will dictate higher price real estate & Banks will give them the World.
Younger Migrants bankroll Oz society to prop up Aging Aussies owing more each day.
eg: Recent Covid Emergency > Students / Bosses had open cheque books!
May 2021 Students Tourism Work "Emergency Tax free extends for 2 years to mid 2023"
Jan 2022 Students "Emergency > Unlimited Hours > Tax Free" No investigating the Bosses!
June 2023 Students "Emergency Ends" (40hrs > 48hrs fortnight first $18k tax free)

Lifetime Fiscal Positive Impact

Average Migrant adds $41,307 to economy
Skilled Migrant adds $198,141 to economy
Solo Yuppie Migrant Intake is #1 Successive Govt Policy
^........................................................................................................v
Lifetime Aging / Care Cost Burden on Oz Society
Aussies cost society $85,248
Migrant Family cost society $126,430
Humanitarians cost society $399,830

Housing Type 1990 > 2023
Govt Housing.....6% > 3% (Notice Govts keep saying they invest more...by % they halved it)
Rental.................18% > 26% Stat should read higher or double! see next table...Home!
Mortgage...........28% > 37% Lumbered in Debt
Ownership.........43% > 29.5% Dreamkiller
+
Home~ 1981 > 1990 > 2016
20-24~ 36% > 42.5% > 43.4% (vs) Wealthy o/s Students
25-29~ 9.7% > 13.7% > 17.1% (vs) NZ migrants
30-34~ 3.8% > 5.5% > 7.1% (vs) Visitor / Skilled Migrants
In all age groups & across all Oz nationalities the boys stay longer at Home...(Often Double)
Govt Policy advances to secure Girls education / Tech / Sports / Health ahead of boys.
Women are birthing 10 years too late & only once > Child rearing is now the ultimate Policy.
Parents are more likely to secure / fund their Daughters education away from Home.
Boys are needed for longer to maintain Family home / business.

Housing Crisis Offsets (o/s Non Resident Home / Property Sale Bans)
Increased Migration > Raising cbd / pocket prices > Offset by o/s Home Ownership Bans
https://worldcrunch.com/business-finance/bans-on-foreigners-buying-houses

Canada PM : [ Homes are for People not Investors ]
2016 ( Foreign Home Owner Tax) o/s sales plummeted 10%
2017 (Home Tax on non residents) > 2023 (2 year o/s Home buying Ban) re: CBDs
Oz / NZ fear o/s rebound buyers flooding their shores next...Why the fear?
2018 Foreigners buying 22% of Auckland CBD Houses NZ Govt Banned them.
News of the day...Oz will soon follow! Read it Here, anywhere & any hour...

Many EU / South Asian Countries have Bans on o/s Home Purchases
Some for Ages or 5 years others are releasing their grip...all depends on Post Covid effect!

Intro an offset Peak Summer [Census] for all Oz / Migrants
This data tbb is researching represents a bygone era of Cold Winter 50% behind speed!
Census should catch Oz mid Flight with a host of Combo record Summer Crisis Oz wide.
What use is a toolbox with a candle & a pair of slippers to ward off our maddening Summer crisis.
Govt gotta get outta the 18th century freeze over to face the modern world...no hurry!

Reverse Rotational Flow Migration
Switch o/s peak Uni / Work migration to Start in Financial year Winter Calendar
April induction > May / June Semester 1 o/s Students > Feb Semester 1 Oz Students
Review Rental Leases (Current) 6 mth Qld lease is fuelling SEQ crisis (vs) 12 mths NSW / Vic / ACT

Reverse Rotational Flow FIFO Emigration.
Likewise other nations are aging fast & will pay well for quality labour...Oz is trusted & mates!
Australians target aging Nations & market to supply & upskill high value youth labour...
6 months higher paid labour affords these FIFO Aussies enough to reside in Oz 6 months.
Recalling that by mid century Oz will be split evenly...Aussie Kidz may need to split as Dual citizens.
We will be less than half Oz...then the world will be more our home than Oz. Few think of that!
2055 Being Aussie is Foreign to us, the Nation we choose next will become more homely each year!

Here's our related Nations > Timeline to capitalize on seasonal FIFO crews.
tbb has listed Oz compliant nations to suit our highest value relatable workforce.
2020-30 Japan > Greece > Italy > (Eastern EU)
2025-35 Germany > Poland > Croatia > Hungary > Portugal > Spain
2035-45 France > Malta > Netherlands
2045-55 Singapore > Thailand
2055-65 UK
Timeshare List reflects each Nation's pop downturn to maximize opportunity.
Anyone of these will present as our new home away from home a we get priced out of Oz.

Solutions tbb gives are foreign to us, as will be our World, as we panic more each day to adapt.
Yes! tbb admits they're well beyond wot our pollies plan...but crew can see they're modest & ring true!
tbb never chose these options...they present more as lifelines for our hastening alien Oz principality.
All here know Pollies are selling us out & we can't compete as World's Wealthiest flood us out.

Next Level is here today!
Ask! How long are we to ban the world at large from securing our Sovereignty!
2 Years > 5 years...coz Data says we need a 30 year Ban...Aussie Dream Home is for Sale!

tbb will let Aussies have the Final say in a Newspaper Poll.
Should Aussies ban Foreigners from buying Property... Yes 91% (vs) No 9%
(That sounds like Big News!)
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11596241/Calls-grow-Australia-B...

flollo's picture
flollo's picture
flollo Thursday, 23 Mar 2023 at 7:49am

Far out tbb there's a lot in there. You're making some great points. I live in an old, established suburb and most people lived here for a very long time. So it kinda feels isolated from a lot of the stuff you talk about. But then, every time I go to Melbourne my eyes open up. It's like a different world down there, they built (and still building) thousands of highrise apartments and I always wonder who buys those apartments. My assumption is - it's overseas buyers and not many Aussies. If you walk the streets you will see that all real estate agencies advertise properties in Mandarin and some exclusively in Mandarin (literally no English). There must be a strong lobby behind these apartments.

truebluebasher's picture
truebluebasher's picture
truebluebasher Thursday, 23 Mar 2023 at 8:58pm

Thanx a heap flollo...back to tbb's family sharing some housing tips!
This tip is for those setting up an Airbnb...something seldom mentioned.
But tbb thinks the Host will wanna know!
Brother just shared some 'inside' tips on Airbnb Mobster Hideouts.

Listen to this...very real message from the force.
Turns out biker gangs & drug runners hire out airbnb for a Party Animal House.
Ok! So all have made complaints to Neighbourhood Watch about local Wild Party!
Maybe someone did...maybe!

What us innocents don't know is this...
Blowin' the bond is neither here nor there!
Coz the gang get the Key Cut before returning it!
They got their prize! {The Key} to their new drug emporium.

This main bit is left out of these down played news events...
Airbnb insist Hosts must post a Calendar of booked / Unbooked days.
Bikers & Drug runners timetable their "Privately Secured" drug drop offs thanks to Airbnb.
Dealers have the cut Key & all runners can check Airbnb for their next Drug Den pickup.
Airbnb is timetabling & hosting Bikers drug Drop Offs!

Some owners switched to Combo Key Pad Locks...
But Dealers usually leave a window or Doggie Door ajar.
Knowing the layout they can measure Glass, then tidy & replace any targeted pane.
From the inside...Yes! This is now a new crime wave thingy!

All this is the result of Lazy unaccounted VIP outta town Vacancies.
Airbnb operators are least able to afford security & crooks sniff out these lame targets.
Timetabling Housing Waste rewards the underworld with secure untraceable timetabled hideouts

Once tbb was made aware of this...clicked search on the subject...Bingo!
Ordinarily these 'random' events fly under the radar unless searching for it > [ Airbnb Drug Deals ]
They're random because these home invaders are seldom caught out!
Once you link the the two...www lights up...have heard it's busy enough to be of concern to the Law!

Reckon it's why Qld Govt are now reviewing ramped Airbnbs = ramped Drug / arms Deals!
Of interest is NSW Govt advocating Airbnb 180 night cap > Byron 90 night cap...Bikers will love that!
Airbnb Calendars advertising 75% Accom' waste...
Wow! That is some lazy arse fucked up least secure & wasteful Housing Policy!
Govt mandated advertised 75% Housing waste invites the underworld to set up Byron Compounds!

Ok! So where does all this end up?
NSW Land Court Judge ... "Would the Drugged out Feral please approach the bench!"
Feral : "Them Drug Dealing bikers have changed the locks on my 75% mandated Drug Den!"
https://inqld.com.au/insights/2023/03/08/could-cracking-down-on-airbnb-r...

frog's picture
frog's picture
frog Thursday, 23 Mar 2023 at 9:28pm

Tbb that stuff is an eye opener.

velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno Saturday, 25 Mar 2023 at 8:33pm

Happy birthday TBB!
And thank you for that first big post, well researched! You've just outlined exactly what is going on and we are seeing and all feeling. So the country as we knew it is toast, to be fundamentally replaced in an ongoing seeking of younger, highly skilled work units and the rich and famous; to offset the aging. And that we/our young will be sent wandering the world as a result and find our 'Australia' in other places.

Kudos to you, you've outlined it beautifully.

velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno Saturday, 25 Mar 2023 at 8:34pm

And the airbnb abuse: very clever people...

velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno Saturday, 25 Mar 2023 at 8:38pm

This one's for you, TBB

udo's picture
udo's picture
udo Tuesday, 28 Mar 2023 at 8:31am

flollo's picture
flollo's picture
flollo Wednesday, 29 Mar 2023 at 12:46pm

Too busy to watch that video now but I'll definitely spare some time later. Sounds interesting.

donweather's picture
donweather's picture
donweather Wednesday, 29 Mar 2023 at 2:31pm

https://play.acast.com/s/equity-mates/market-chats-with-returning-expert...

This is definitely worth a listen Chris Joye was spot on forecasting a housing market bull run in 2020/21 during covid.

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM Wednesday, 29 Mar 2023 at 2:52pm

Looks like that bull run is showing no signs of slowing down.
$5 million plus for a house in Canterbury.
That bi-partisan high immigration policy is continuing to have its desired effect.

https://www.realestate.com.au/news/international-uni-student-pushes-cant...

dandandan's picture
dandandan's picture
dandandan Wednesday, 29 Mar 2023 at 5:14pm

Meanwhile in Hobart, a woman buys up 6 properties in a row and threatens to convert them all into AirBnB hotels like a game of Monopoly. The houses were originally built in the 1890s with funds raised by the Benevolent Society in order to provide affordable housing to workers. She cries poor despite acquiring the last of them three months ago for $750 000.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-03-29/tenants-angered-as-lease-ends-und...

truebluebasher's picture
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truebluebasher Wednesday, 29 Mar 2023 at 11:43pm

Thanks velocityjohnno & frog...more detail on the future of housing.
Researching the migrant intake again took on a world of it's own.
Meaning : It's now already a larger faster paced economy than runs ours.
Ok! All kinda thought we'd sold out a good while back...

This is a microcosm or Part 1 if ya like...made possible from a rush of recent Migrant data.

tbb's 2055 date seems to fast track to 2048 (As in 50%+ o/s Born world bossing our Nation!)
Yes! Bossing as Multinationals boss all largest migrant takeover > Global Economy!
Repeating that other World media label Oz as fastest migrant uptake...it is...but of largest Est' Nations!

What we'll expose here is how this larger global economy already engulfs our aging Australia.
First things first is to state the obvious subterfuge for any default takeover...

tbb happened upon a world anomaly for Oz region...
World has reduced Child Migrants from 1995 (15%) -2020 (10%)
Australia increased Child Migrants from 1995 (10%) > 2020 (15%)
This is due to senior Oz offering executive roles in Frontline Health / Ed / Finance.
Stumbled upon the best example of this in most frontline workplace!
Oz Trainee Nurses leave early to have Children (Numbers drop 5%) Return 15yrs later as Midwives!
Migrant Trained Nurse arrives with Family-works continuously to fill gap > Post Grad Degrees.
Basically the Govt never needs paying for unproductive maternity leave for majority of o/s workforce!
South Asian Health Work Force saved $3.2b / 5 years by already having family in place!

Migration is fast becoming a mostly South Asian majority Takeover.
1975 - 2016 : UK 48% > 6% / NZ 18% > 5% / South Asia 3% > 35%

CALD : UN Rights > now requires Culturally And Linguistically Diverse Migration.
Meaning Australia must provide appropriate Language access in Civic Venues.
Airports / Stations / Age Care with Asian- Chinese Voice Info Messaging.
We all recall AEC Elections with the Purple Chinese Signs...expect that across the board.
Migrants build their own footbridge & train their own troops to then supply & control our nation.
Should Migration Slow as in a Pandemic...the supply lines halt then Aussies knife fight over toilet paper.

Here's a peak into this alien world that controls ours...
Sure! It's Australia, but not one we'll ever recall as it fades from view.

% of o/s Worker-Residents (Oz Workforce)
Generally slightly higher % Employment rates & pay rates as to Australians.

80% Naturally boss our Migration / Translation / Interpreters (Building Bridges)
Govt requires all Ports to prioritize frontline emergency accommodation for migrants in largest Cities
Most Ports require Migrant Housing / Processing Centre

80% Migrants run total Food Chain from Plant-Plate
Grow > Pick Veges > Slaughter > Slice'n'dice > Butcher > Process > Pack > Transport > Warehouse
(Cont...) Migrants then Trade > Sell > Prepare > Cook > Serve > Clean > Wash Dishes
Includes the bulk of Production Line Factory Workers
Again! o/s Migrant Workforce are exempted as Frontline Aussies thru Pandemic.

70% Manufacturing / Engineering of all materials / Products across whole of society!
This being the foundation stone of Oz migration.

60% Health Care > Soon majority of all services > Child > Disabled > Aged Care
Migrants boss #1 OZ Emergency Health Priority (During Pandemic they own us!)
Migrants represent higher % with higher specialized fields...Common thru whole work force!
Any CBD accommodation they choose or need is theirs as a matter of priority!

60% Tech Geeks run our Matrix...they are well paid & can buy your house & the neighbours!
These Guys run all all Govt Tech & can do as they please!
Tech includes all this info here that we read right now...who else knows this shit!...Cheers Geeks!

60% Transport (Instructors > Drivers) see above: Note migrants train other migrants! This also repeats!
Migrant Truck / Coach / Bus / Tram / Fork Lift exemptions as priority Aussies...No worries Mate!
Next level...crew would know 'Indians' are proud of Rail Stations...leads to management roles.
Just saying to expect further Sub continent Transit Tech flow on as with Food > Pass' Transport whole!

60% Postal Service / Baggage comes with the fact the Migrants are bossing the Parcel Post service.
Simply an extension of their larger world...
Crew see that Govt are kicking the Local outta Oz Post > less local letters more Global Port Parcels.

Pause...Here's where we cross the line into the Big End of Town + Unions. (Tread Carefully!)
Migrants know the one & only golden rule is to not bite the hand that feeds them!
Pretty much Migrants going after management have been playing nice up until now...line is crossed!
They are now punching above their weight ( Pop % Job wages )

50% Tertiary Education...said to have jumped from 41% > 49% in Higher Education.
Universities retain o/s Students as Tutors / lecturers...Oz Lecturers can finally go to the Pub!
eg: UK 14.6% > Chinese 9.2% > India 7.8% ( Migrants teaching each own's Migrants ) as throughout!
Perfect example of demonising 28.3% of o/s Students while Unis are offshoring 49% of Teaching Jobs.
Highly likely Oz already has a Private Uni of majority o/s Staff / Students. (Say : Oz Uni? or o/s Uni!)

50% Telcos / Vital Systems Checks...across all Oz economy & has no limits to o/s work force!
Another priority foreign frontline workforce with more them than us...all can see that!

50% Manufacturing / Plant Operators + (Non Unionized Trades)
Here we're also talking about greasing the wheels > Upgrades > Maintenance > Plant Running
(Non Union - Manual Labourers) > Steel Fixers / Plasterers / Tilers / Brickies / Roofers / Cleaners.
Tricky work for migrants to break into...more a slower haul this one...requires more integration!
Working side by side with Aussies each day...trying but rewarding.

50% Sales > Servo checkouts > Migrant Family shop Keepers
Real Estate field goes from Tele marketing > Time Share > Penthouse Suites...(No Limit!) + Contracts
See Above...(Bridges) Migrate to Family's Home is Work...so it blurs inner city Housing / jobs stats.
In fact it kinda distorts the current Inner City Housing / Rentals
Family sector is least regulated & lacks insider migrant data to forge policy...always, ever this way!
History records precincts or franchising by race / creed...again it blurs the reality!
Often hard for Aussies to break into this foreign market within their own Oz neighbourhood!

50% Mining...This figure is overall as migrants represent higher in behind the scenes Logistics.
Almost replicates a migrants realm within a realm...long history of Migrant Workers.
Kinda like Engineering in Work Plant / Factories.
tbb has worked on mines & was told to Sign in & work with a False Name...Go Figure!
Mines want less Oz / Local fuss or rumours...o/s workers are less hassle.

........Above World is foreign to us > Remaining Last Legs of Australian Society kicks on below......
Crew will read of 40% Migrant Jobs...all above 40% level will shift to Majority in no time...that fast!
No! Don't need tbb to forecast that...crew can easily see these jobs going going gone.

40% Finance / Banking / Accounting / Admin / Insurance ( No brainer ) Money speaks every Language.
This sector determines o/s policy takeover rate & looks like these Global Brands will own us!
tbb was suggesting if this sector breaches 50% very soon, then Oz loses it's ownership & sovereignty!
Purely based on the World being in charge of Oz purse strings...few here can argue!

40% Science > Labs > Pharmacies > Chemists > Sales + Alt o/s medicines
Another frontline priority migration supply line that has o/s funny names written all over it!
Oz just signed massive deals with o/s Big Pharma Airport Plant..FIFO...Bye Bye!

40% Security came on real fast with Pandemic...but it's not wot ya think!
Kinda like a whole new mid level > Now also ramped with Migrant priority!
Self certified Inspectors / Handlers / Guards / Concierges / Tickets > Baggage checkers / handlers...
Quite Often the Security Migrant Guard is not to engage or speak...just direct or point to signs!
Example : Migrants make up 35% of Prison Guards > (Not to be confused with frontline policing!)
Crew know that these migrants already Boss us & send us to jail...don't say you weren't warned!

See how quick that 40-50% Level moves to majority rule....it's no joke! Very Powerful Group. Agree!
Almost like that's the Gutz of it...we're on our own from there! Now Foreign in a Foreign land!

40% + (General) Migrant Trades near or above Oz 30% Migrant pop.
Trolley Boys > Car detailers > Laundry > Furniture > Fashion > Jewelry > Sculptors / Potters
These are more steady light impact areas of Society...more open to cross communication.

Govt / Union Protectionism Trade Zones that Migrants least occupy ( Last Aussie Bastion )
These occupations fall below 20-30% Migrant occupation or below their own pop.
Govt's either protect or Migrants are not interested or both!
tbb is not saying they're safe jobs just safer than all above trades...in fact some will lure o/s workers.
Meaning quiet 'towns' based on these occupations will somewhat delay Migrant impacts.

Aboriginal Affairs Frontline Service
Primary Crop Farming > Wheat / Sugar / Cotton / Wool
Zoos / Horses / Kennels / Dogs / Pets / Vets / Hunting-Shearing + Live Stock
Forestry > Ranger > Logging / Saw milling / Tree Felling / Green keepers
Union Trades > Plumbing / Electricians / Boiler Makers
Surveyors > Earth-moving / Backhoes / Concreters
Mechanics of local Small Cars (Requires long term reputation!)
Regional River / Sea trades > Boat Building / Deckhands / Whitewater Rafting

Womens : Family Support / Mid Wives / Mothercraft / Secretary / Hairdressers / Make Up
Seems like Migrants must tread carefully among Local Men / Women equally.
Here we see that thin line where Migrants don't cross > Funerals also.
Flip side > Marriage / Relationship Counselling / Massages / Therapeutics are all fine! Ok!

Sport : Coaches / Referees / Umpires (Meaning no more Refs than International Standard)
Combo with Animals : Equestrian Events least attract Asian Migrants...forget it!
Migrants will misspell yer Trophies & provide yer Team with official correct upside down numbers!

Vice : Sex Work / Bar Tenders / Bookies / Horse-Dog Racing (Cafes also don't exceed o/s Pop base!)
Again...see : Casino / Concierge / Escort / Massage (Note Migrants gear to Top End!) Happy Ending!

Health Crisis : Rehab / Psychiatry / Deaf / Blind & as said Funerals
Possibly Govt or Religious / Personal intervention boundaries (see: iconic blokey Jobs)
Kinda like if it's broke...takes longer time (Years) to fix than the time a migrant can spare!

History / Arts / Media
Signage (English?) / Libraries / Museums / Ushers
Newspapers / Journos / Radio / TV / Stage / Acting / Dance / Music / Auctioneers
Crew can guess that further Global syndication would ramp this away from Oz Grasp!
Consider growing Sth Asia News press / Press / Libraries will require more (CALD) compliance.
"The Australasian" with Asian Crosswords!

Oz inner sanctum would require 70% o/s Pop to unseat Oz Power Base! (Turn of Century)

Frontline Rescue
SLS / Fire Fighters / Ambos / SES / Police / Troops / Quarantine
tbb was surprised to see 20% uptake > again less crew but more weighted toward o/s Officers
o/s Officers would need to work hard to command respect from large % Oz troops.

Law / Authority
Courts / Judges / Magistrate / MP / AEC
All can see these last Strongholds will be what endangered Oz Hodads cling to for Hope!
Writing letters to the Australasian about yer weird Asian Street name!

With the list..crew are invited to see how where their part of the world fits into the Housing crisis!
tbb explained our 6 month overseas FIFO for future minority English speaking Youth to hold ground.

Oz top Diaspora : UK > US > NZ > Canada > SK > HK >*Germany > China > *Japan
Oz Youth can target jobs in aging wealthy desperate Japan then Germany to anchor a 6mths Oz Surfari!
So what is Oz Plan for World Domination?

Oz 1m Diaspora ranks amongst Lowest but will soon rise the fastest & already is...
1.35m by 2030 (20-30 year olds > 25% work in Finance / Professional Services)
Note this is a perfect mirror of Asians arriving in Oz. (50% Aussies return after 5-6 yrs Pro experience)
London / New York / California then Singapore / Dubai / HK are bidding for 350k Oz Yuppies.
tbb previously listed same competitive Singapore / UAE / Qatar / HK in highest o/s pop principalities.
In this case the Oz yuppie Lawyers are cherry picking their preferred complex Hubs of Litigation.
Asia
2007 ~ 4.7% Oz Students studied o/s > 2014 ~16% study o/s > doubling time spent o/s.
By 2030 More than 450,000 Aussies will be working in 4/5 Largest Economies of 3.2b middle class.
Oz expatriate community will reach 33% of Total Diaspora by 2030.
Notably many more Aussies will then have a grasp of Asian language or Heritage!

If both studies are right then 800,000 Aussies are leaving by 2030.
Just saying...that pretty much matches our migrant intake?
Reckon that might speed up the Asian Pop % Take over if Oz loses 800,000 Aussies
Should that size Oz Diaspora continue then Oz is looking at a sooner 2040 for loss of sovereignty!
tbb is unsure of such speculation but there is little else to go by in this least studied area!
So! Thought to share the only reputable papers on Oz Diaspora.
[Future Crisis Factcheck] We know as Fact that our Aussie Diaspora will arrive back at Xmas as it does.
800k /5-6 years = 150 Aussies returning each Year...
Oz Housing Crisis would need to absorb an extra 150k Yuppies / year at Peak Xmas Housing Crisis .
So! Where to we read about that Hot House Crisis of Wealthiest Legal Eagles feathering their Nests.
Who here can match their Rental offer! Be like 5 Aussies sharing a Carport!

Policy : 20% Mandatory Regional Migration (DRA cat 1/2/3)
Born from the fact that (86% Migrants live cities) vs (Oz 65%)
91% of Oz (poll) want to stop foreigners from buying property...
Cat 1 Syd / Mbne / Bne receive no incentives
Cat 2 Capital Cities split CBD to morph as a regional Capital to claim migrants / students incentives.
Cat 3 Regional Centres
https://www.sbs.com.au/language/punjabi/en/article/new-plan-to-settle-mi...
https://ielts.com.au/australia/prepare/article-australian-government-inc...

tbb credits [New Daily] for the base of the data breakdown...
Outrageous example : Bungy Masters o/s 100% (vs) Whitewater Rafters o/s 0%
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/work/2023/02/11/which-jobs-rely-the-m...
Happy to share if it helps... Just sing out for any stat credits...might run a Link column soon?
Reason tbb is puttin' out is 2023 is releasing some exceptional Data Files...Salute! Stat Guys!

velocityjohnno's picture
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velocityjohnno Tuesday, 4 Apr 2023 at 3:47pm

velocityjohnno's picture
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velocityjohnno Tuesday, 4 Apr 2023 at 3:51pm

https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2023/04/western-sydney-fights-back-agai...

Linked for Western Sydney mayor Carbone's comments:

"“Western Sydney cannot be used as the place for the government to dump 650,000 new residents just so they fix their bottom line”, Carbone said.

“We need hospitals, roads, housing and at a time when cost of living is out of control, this does not help people with their budgets or quality of living”.

“We need to say western Sydney is shut – we have a very low availability of housing and this will only foster more inflation with higher prices and it’ll be people out here in western Sydney that will pay the price for this huge increase”."

Just drove under/through Western Sydney, remind me to pay the toll... I got glimpses of big two storey houses in bush across about a 50km trip I guess. Must be a massive place.

At what point does popular revolt occur at this policy and enormous numbers of population increase?

flollo's picture
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flollo Tuesday, 4 Apr 2023 at 4:23pm

I just can’t get into these articles mate. They are definitely popular but the language used is too much for me.

Westofthelake's picture
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Westofthelake Tuesday, 4 Apr 2023 at 4:28pm

The Kohler video had some surprisingly unsurprising facts. The migration tap is more like an overflowing dam, and how's the statistic that half of the 400k net migration this year will be people who come here for a holiday, and then decide they suddenly don't want to go home!

flollo's picture
flollo's picture
flollo Tuesday, 4 Apr 2023 at 4:30pm
velocityjohnno wrote:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QEg5RLpXEO4

1. Current government will definitely boost student visas to help their friends in the education sector (why is that sector so dependent on foreign students is a separate but important discussion).

2. People coming as tourists and then changing their mind and staying. This would be illegal unless the government is issuing easy bridging visas.

As he said, these 2 are major drivers but I don’t see them being fixed. And sometimes I talk positively about migration. Let me be clear, these 2 categories are not the ones I support. They look like shitty loopholes to be honest.