As the low moves offshore Fri odds are firming we’ll see a major S swell develop as gales develop on the western flank of the low, proximate to the NSW coast.
A low point in swell activity is expected on Thursday morning, before we see the leading edge of a new swell sequence arrive later in the day.
Looks like a few days of craptacular surf across the coast - not enough size for the Mid, and persistent onshores down south as a front crosses through our longitudes. Next week looks much different though.
The gist of it is a trough line in the Coral Sea, which may deepen into a low pressure system and drift towards the North Island (GFS scenario) or move towards the QLD coast as a coastal trough and intensify a NE infeed into the CQ coast, possibly as early as Sun bringing a major increase in E-E/NE swell.
Into the weekend and we will see conditions improve as a high moves to the north of the island and fronts to the south bring about westerly ridging.
Easing swells are expected into Thursday, and early light W/NW breezes will precede freshening W’ly tending W/SW winds as a front sweeps across Bass Strait, clipping the coast.
The gist of it is a trough line in the Coral Sea, which may deepen into a low pressure system and drift towards the North Island (GFS scenario) or move towards the QLD coast as a coastal trough and intensify a NE infeed into the SEQLD, then NSW Coast possibly as early as Tues.
Plenty of action in the tropics and subtropics next week but we’ll see a quiet opening to the week for temperate NSW, with some model divergence for later next week.
Today’s SW swell will ease slowly through Tuesday, but a second S/SW groundswell will build through the day - initially small in size, and likely to reach a late afternoon peak.
Mid to late afternoon, the leading edge of a new long period E’ly swell will make landfall, though we’re not expecting wave heights to peak until...
