Make the most of today and the coming days before winds go onshore with building surf.
Thursday looks the day for surf to thicken up as the deeper, better aligned SSE/SE fetch generates strong SSE swell for the NE/NSW Coast with a smaller amount getting into SEQLD. With the low moving away local pressure gradients will ease and lighter SW winds will see a day of cleaner, pumping waves.
The weekend's extremely warm, benign weather is about to be swept away by a wintry blast as a trough following the passage of a cold front later today interacts with a cold pool and forms an explosive surface low Tuesday morning.
We should see a good new W/SW groundswell filling in in the wake of today's change with workable winds for the Mid tomorrow. The South Coast will clean up late week with a good new S/SW groundswell.
Poor surf once an onshore change moves in this afternoon, with good swells on the way, cleaning up later week.
The low drifts away towards New Zealand through Wed/Thurs with SE winds on the lower flank of the cut-off low sufficiently low in latitude to be in the Nor-east Tas swell window
An upper cold pool is expected to spawn a cut-off low East of Sydney during Tuesday. This is a different beast to the more polar lows that have been traversing the Tasman in the last few weeks, a classic “onion ring” system which occupies the majority of the central/southern Tasman for the majority of next week
The weekend isn't too exciting but there's a bit more swell potential for next week, winds pending.
Not much joy for the weekend but we'll see the surf ramp up rapidly through next week as a Tasman Low develops right off the southern NSW coast.
A new, sizey swell is expected tomorrow but with onshore winds, cleaning up from Sunday as a stronger, larger SW groundswell fills in, great from Monday.
