That leads to a couple of days of small, weak surf before the low shifts East of Tasmania on Thursday.
There's a good swell due tomorrow but you'll have to work the winds. The rest of the week looks poor with mostly average conditions. There's more action next week.
A blocking setup will keep the state very quiet over the coming period but with favourable morning winds.
Pressure gradients are weak across our main swell windows and through the region as an interior trough drifts NE and a weak, troughy area extends out into the Tasman sea, without creating much of a squeeze on a weak high pressure centre over New Zealand.
Pressure gradients are weak across our main swell windows and through the region as an interior trough drifts NE and a weak, troughy area extends out into the Tasman sea, without creating much of a squeeze on a weak high pressure centre over New Zealand.
The outlook for the state is fairly poor following tomorrow so get a surf in with a new swell and favourable winds.
There's a good pulse of swell due tomorrow, better than the models and forecast make it look, but following that conditions will be poor until next week.
With reinforcing high pressure now in the Tasman Sea, we’re on track for another round of NE windswell through Sat, as the pressure gradient gets tightened by an approaching trough complex and winds freshen in the East Tasmanian swell window.
Not much in the way of size over the coming period and with funky winds owing to troughy weather.
The fetch out of Cook Strait, extending up past Taranaki Peninsula and into the Tasman sea looked good on ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes through Wed/Thurs, with areas of storm force winds embedded in a long fetch of severe gales to low end gales. With the buoys and observations already confirming the swell it’s only local winds we’ll be concerned with.
