It’s a weak synoptic pattern with no major swell sources- a passing front weakens as it traverses the Tasman, leaving an off-axis fetch parallel with New Zealand. There should be enough minor swell sources of no real quality to stay wet through the short term.

The worst outlook so far this season for Indo, better across the Maldives early next week.

With weak winds in the Coral Sea we’ll see tiny surf this week. Not dead flat, there’ll be just enough swell energy from a constant regime of weak E’ly winds to hold a very small weak swell, possibly just surfable on low tides.

The troughy pattern remains installed into the medium term so we’re still keeping an eye out for short range features which could supply local swell sources, although these look small and weak.