Good swell for the weekend with decent winds

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Western Australian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday October 13th)

Best Days: Today ahead of sea breezes, tomorrow morning, Sunday ahead of sea breezes, Monday swell magnets in the South West, later next week

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Mod-large SW groundswell building tomorrow, peaking into the afternoon with strong SE tending S/SE winds
  • Easing SW groundswell Sun with mod-fresh E/SE winds ahead of sea breezes
  • Smaller, fading surf with mod-fresh E/NE tending N/NE winds, lighter N into the evening
  • Moderate sized W/SW-SW swell building Thu, easing Fri
  • Strong SE winds Thu AM, E/NE Fri AM


Clean conditions with fun levels of easing swell yesterday, back from the 5ft range, 2ft in Mandurah and 1-2ft across Perth.

This morning a small pulse of new W/SW groundswell is maintaining 4-5ft+ sets across the South West, 1-2ft Mandurah but tiny in Perth.

Fun surf this morning

This weekend and next week (Oct 14 - 20)

Today's pulse of W/SW groundswell was generated by severe-gale N/NW winds at the head of a polar low, with trailing, stronger gale to severe-gale W/SW winds due to generate a stronger SW groundswell for the weekend.

The groundswell is due to arrive tomorrow morning and build towards a peak into the afternoon with 6-8ft sets on the South West magnets 2ft+ in Mandurah and 2ft across Perth.

The swell is due to ease back from 4-6ft in the South West and 2ft Mandurah with 1-2ft sets across Perth, smaller Monday.

Local winds will take a shift back to the SE tomorrow morning, strong and tending more S/SE through the day.

Sunday looks cleaner with an E/SE offshore, giving into weaker and slightly later sea breezes.

Into Monday as the swell fades, fresh E/NE tending N/NE winds are due, weaker N'ly into the evening.

As touched on in the updates earlier this week, there's nothing significant swell wise on the cards for most of next week, with a moderate sized lift in mid-period W/SW-SW swell due Thursday/Friday next week.

The source is a persistent but weak frontal progression moving in from the west, bringing a kick to 4-6ft in the South West, 2ft Mandurah and 1-2ft across Perth. Winds on Thursday as the swell fills in look gusty from the SE, with Friday seeing more favourable E/NE winds. We'll confirm this on Monday though. Have a great weekend!


udo's picture
udo's picture
udo Sunday, 15 Oct 2023 at 12:02pm

Some Bombs at Margs ATM....Big Playing Field