Craig

Fun surf days for most of the period

Western Australia Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday April 23rd)

Best Days: Saturday in the South West, Monday morning in the South West, Tuesday, Wednesday and Thirsday mornings all locations

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Easing S/SW groundswell tomorrow with a new, inconsistent SW swell for the afternoon, easing slowly Sun
  • Morning E-E/NE tending N/NE winds tomororow with weak sea breezes, light to moderate W in the South West Sun
  • New W/SW swell for Tue with variable morning winds, with reinforcing pulses for Wed and Thu AM with favourable morning winds
  • Windy swells from next weekend

Recap

The new pulse of swell for Wednesday didn't really show much before dark, but for what it lacked initially it made up for yesterday with a large peak to 8ft+ across the South West with great conditions, building to 2-3ft in Mandurah and 1-2ft across Perth.

The swell has eased off this morning but early the South West was still pulling in 6-8ft sets, 2ft in Mandurah and 1-2ft across Perth. Make the most of it before sea breezes kick in.

Still a bit of size early

This weekend and next week (Apr 24 – 30)

The surf will continue to ease into tomorrow and conditions look clean again with a moderate E-E/NE offshore, tending more N/NE ahead of weak sea breezes. This should offer plenty of fun options for a surf with easing sets from 4-5ft, 1-1.5ft in Mandurah and Perth.

Our new, inconsistent SW groundswell for the afternoon should keep similar sized sets hitting the South West and locations further north after lunch, easing Sunday from a similar size but with a weak W'ly offshore in the South West, variable to the north.

The surf will ease back a touch more Monday as winds revert back offshore in the morning to the E/NE.

We then look at our moderate sized + run of mid-period W/SW swell, generated by generally weak and patchy though persistent mid-latitude frontal systems firing up in our swell window from today.

An initial front today will generate a fetch of gale-force W/SW winds in our western swell window up until tomorrow morning before weakening and dipping south-east. This should produce an initial W/SW swell with the most period for Tuesday, coming in around the 6ft range across the South West, 2ft in Mandurah and Perth.

A broader though weaker fetch of W/SW winds will then produce a lesser period, reinforcing swell for Wednesday to a similar size across all coasts, with one final front keeping the size up into Thursday morning, then easing.

Winds look a little more favourable with a variable breeze likely Tuesday morning, tending W/NW through the day in the South West, SW to the north. Wednesday should be fun with E/NE offshores ahead of sea breezes, variable E/NE Thursday as the swell eases.

Longer term there's a bit of activity on the cards for next weekend and beyond as the mid-latitude activity starts to strengthen and develop right on us. This looks to bring a plenty of swell but a bit of wind as well.

We'll have a clearer idea on next weekend's outlook and beyond on Monday. Have a great weekend!

Comments

bluediamond's picture
bluediamond's picture
bluediamond Friday, 23 Apr 2021 at 10:43pm

Holy Toledo!! Not looking too promising for any Brazillian whippets by about the 7/8/9 or May. Bummer!

walkar's picture
walkar's picture
walkar Sunday, 25 Apr 2021 at 10:05pm

Couldn't have said it better.
I watched the replays of Jack Robbo Vs Toledo at the 2019 comp the other day (Box). Sums it up well.

MidWestMonger's picture
MidWestMonger's picture
MidWestMonger Sunday, 25 Apr 2021 at 8:00am

Has something weird happened, we were forecast a 2.5m SW swell for the next 3 days now it’s disappeared from the foreys

Redmond Clement's picture
Redmond Clement's picture
Redmond Clement Sunday, 25 Apr 2021 at 4:41pm

I noticed the weird forecast figures . Like keno.

Redmond Clement's picture
Redmond Clement's picture
Redmond Clement Sunday, 25 Apr 2021 at 7:48pm

Actually more like the stock market it crashed then rallied and surged back up again. Lucky I was going to jump out the window!

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Sunday, 25 Apr 2021 at 8:13pm

Yeah we had an issue with the wave model last week so it might have lost some data when it was down for a day.

It's got no swell for the coming couple of days, but as above in the notes, there'll be surf.

MidWestMonger's picture
MidWestMonger's picture
MidWestMonger Sunday, 25 Apr 2021 at 9:17pm

Copy that Craig. All good, sorta thing regional types dont mind. 2.5 metre swell running with a forecast of half a metre (briefly while models down) keeping city folk from bothering to chase it

evosurfer's picture
evosurfer's picture
evosurfer Monday, 26 Apr 2021 at 7:52am

Any idea why Bali arnt getting any swells so far this year?