There is a sliver of hope if a trough deepens off the Fraser Coast Thurs before moving south. That may see a small bump in swell later Thurs into Fri.
At 6am the coastal low is tucked in very close to the NSW/Victorian border with gales aimed primarily at Gippsland and NE Tasmania generating huge E’ly swells for NETas. By midnight the gale force flow ceases and by tomorrow all the flow will be W’ly through Bass Strait.
Finding a window with a quality wave will be tricky this period.
We've got various pulses of inconsistent westerly swell due this period.
A trough line connected to the low remains angled SW/NE in the Tasman with a N-N/NE infeed along the trough line. With the movement of the low into the coast, winds on the southern flank are now out of the swell window so we’ll be relying on the NE infeed into the trough and potential small lows forming in the trough line for swells in the short term once the current S'ly swell fades out.
The coming week is slow and with average winds after tomorrow. The weekend doesn't look much better, with a slow start to next week.
A trough line connected to the low remains angled SW/NE in the Tasman with a N-N/NE infeed along the trough line. With the movement of the low into the coast, winds on the southern flank are now out of the swell window so we’ll be relying on the NE infeed into the trough and potential small lows forming in the trough line for swells in the short term once the current S/SE swell fades out.
A deepening low will drift down right into us on Sunday/Monday bringing a large pulse of swell. It'll drop as quickly as it rises.
The weekend will be fun with some new SW swell while some funky E/SE swell is due next week with tricky winds.
We've got building surf and strengthening winds due over the coming days, reaching XL Monday morning.
