A long fetch of SW gales is aimed up and moving towards WA as part of a complex gyre well south off the state. Rotating fetches around the edge of the gyre will hold large pulses of SW swell right through the end of the week into and over the weekend
With all the action down south the Coral Sea is in a classic mid-winter flat spell and will remain so right through this week and into next week.
The low next to Tasmania and proximate fetch will generate a strong spike in S swell tomorrow before it quickly moves away with following fronts now looking less aligned for S swell production.
The current northwards moving low and proximate fetch will generate a quick spike in S swell before it quickly moves away with following fronts now looking less aligned for S swell production.
This is driving stiff W’ly tending SW’ly winds all the way up to the tropics - even New Caledonia is seeing this stiff SW flow! The current northwards moving low and proximate fetch will generate a quick spike in S swell before it quickly moves away with following fronts now looking more zonal and not as favourable for swell production.
The low responsible for our current local swell is moving outside of our swell window, and so surf size will ease into Tuesday.
A deep low pressure system near Tasmania is directing strong southerly winds across the South Oz coast.
The long term looks more typical for Victoria wind-wise, with an amplifying long wave trough west of the state maintaining moderate to fresh NW winds for much of the week.
The onshore pattern remains established over the weekend with high pressure riding at sub-tropical latitudes and a zone of enhanced storminess riding NE with seas in excess of 25ft later this week.
No swell generating winds in the swell window so we’ll see flat surf for all of this week.
