Good Thursday, better at exposed coast from Friday into the weekend

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Victoria Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 27th August)

Best Days: Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday at exposed spots


Average conditions continued through yesterday across both coasts with a dropping swell as early SE winds tended more E'ly during the morning before freshening from the S/SE again into the afternoon.

Today conditions were great across both coasts but the swell was small to tiny, easing from 1ft to occasionally 2ft on the Surf Coast and 3ft on the Mornington Peninsula.

This week and weekend (Aug 28 - 31)

There's been no real change to tomorrow's long-range and inconsistent W/SW groundswell expected across the coast with the swell coming in strong across WA and now on the way towards us.

The swell should be there at dawn, but seeing as the last pulse was a little delayed, we may not see the swell kicking in full until the mid-late morning. A peak to a very inconsistent 3ft+ is due across exposed spots on the Surf Coast, with 6ft+ sets on the Mornington Peninsula with favourable offshores for both coasts (N/NW west of Melbourne and N/NE to the east). Only light onshore breezes are due into the afternoon, creating a full fun day of waves.

The swell should start to drop through Friday from from 2-3ft and 4-6ft respectively as winds remain favourable and locally offshore through the morning.

The weekend is looking slow with small inconsistent levels of background W/SW groundswell stopping both coasts from becoming tiny but also without offering any major size.

The Surf Coast should hover around the inconsistent 2ft range with 3-4ft sets across the Mornington Peninsula (possibly with the odd 5ft bomb at times) as winds continue to play out nicely for both coasts. Offshore from the N/NW and N/NE respectively Saturday morning before tending variable, while Sunday should see N/NW and N'ly winds respectively. Exposed coasts will be the pick of the weekend.

Next week onwards (Sep 1 onwards)

Into next week there's still nothing major on the cards with the surf due to bottom out Monday under fresh to strong N/NW tending SW winds. This will be related to a cold front pushing across us, but only some weak and moderate sized short-range SW swell is due off this system along with onshore winds. Beyond this small swells and average winds look to pad out the rest of the week, but more on this Friday.