Friday still has a nice north-east swell on the way, and with a poor outlook beyond that you’ll want to make the most of it.
Unfortunately our bleak outlook remains as were a few days ago.
The trades across the Southern Coral Sea reached a maximum today so we’re looking at a peak in size on Thursday, before wave heights slowly ease into Friday.
With today’s SE swell punching above its weight, it’s a fair consideration to add a little more size on Thursday’s projection.
The most promising part of this weather progression is probably the interaction between a polar low and a pre-frontal W/NW flow to its north, positioned S/SW of WA on Thurs/Fri.
The synoptic chart looks good in single snapshots, but unfortunately for us the broader picture isn’t in sync and this will maintain low wave heights across the Surf Coast.
Friday is probably the pick of the period as we'll have the best conditions, though size will be only borderline surfable across metro beaches.
The storm track just isn’t favourable for the South Arm at the moment.
Thursday will see tiny conditions between swells, but the end of the week has some very nice waves on the cards, thanks to a developing trough off the Southern NSW coast that’s expected to form a broad NE fetch in our immediate swell window.
Today’s southerly swell is now reaching a peak across Northern NSW, and the general trend will be downwards through the middle of the week.
