Into next week and the main story is a large high moving into the Tasman and becoming slow moving, setting up a summer-style blocking pattern with developing NE winds and NE windswell, becoming solid by the end of the week.
Surf options remain minimal for the period, while a better swell for late next week looks to be met with onshore winds.
The trade flow is enhanced by another tropical development linked to a Westerly wind burst (WWB) extending from PNG longitudes into Fijian areas. This WWB is creating a long, angled trough through the South Pacific Convergence Zone and squeezing onto the large high as it moves slowly in New Zealand longitudes.
Troughy weather and no major cold fronts will result in small surf with lighter periods of wind each morning.
That NE windswell looks to be persistent under the slow moving pattern with high pressure drifting towards New Zealand. We should see an uptick in size through the second half of next week.
The weekend will be mostly poor but early next week better waves are due on the exposed beaches, possibly continuing into mid-week (check back Monday).
The surf will hardly get above 4ft across Indonesia, with fun surf in the Maldives out of the wind.
Small background swells will keep the South Arm topped up with surf.
The coming period remains slow, with a possible better swell for late next week.
Under current modelling this should be an extended event as the N'ly fetch persists and actually increases later next week.
