All the headline action is in the tropics with a cyclone (TC Kirrily) expected to form within the next 24-36hrs in the monsoon trough NE of Cairns. A coastal crossing in N.QLD now looks the most likely outcome with limited surf potential for our region, at least in the short/medium term.
There's a bit of swell due this period with workable but not ideal winds.
The coming week isn't great but the weekend and early next week look fun with a good run of W/SW swell.
Looking south to more local sources then we have a relatively weak high (1022 hPa) moving under Tasmania with a long trough and front in the Tasman directing a S’ly fetch through the Central-Southern Tasman. Once that swell source fades we’re back to typical summer sources with a NE windswell expected late this week and a minor S swell event into the weekend.
The beaches will be OK tomorrow ahead of a better run of swell with favourable winds from late week.
All eyes on the Coral Sea where this tropical low is expected to deepen into a tropical cyclone that is expected to be slow moving.
A compact low is tracking SE away from Tasmania with a nice slingshot fetch in the process of entering the Tasman adjacent to the Apple Isle. A retrograding fetch in the South Pacific is currently active and expected to send some fun surf our way over the weekend.
Clean morning conditions and a good but easing S/SW swell is due on the weekend, with some fun S/SW energy for early next week.
A weak W/SW swell should provide small waves across metro locations early next week with workable winds. Otherwise the outlook is so/so.
A compact low is tracking SE away from Tasmania with a nice slingshot fetch in the process of entering the Tasman adjacent to the Apple Isle. A retrograding fetch in the South Pacific is currently active and expected to send some fun surf our way over the weekend and into early next week.
