The most promising part of this weather progression is probably the interaction between a polar low and a pre-frontal W/NW flow to its north, positioned S/SW of WA on Thurs/Fri.
The synoptic chart looks good in single snapshots, but unfortunately for us the broader picture isn’t in sync and this will maintain low wave heights across the Surf Coast.
Friday is probably the pick of the period as we'll have the best conditions, though size will be only borderline surfable across metro beaches.
The storm track just isn’t favourable for the South Arm at the moment.
Thursday will see tiny conditions between swells, but the end of the week has some very nice waves on the cards, thanks to a developing trough off the Southern NSW coast that’s expected to form a broad NE fetch in our immediate swell window.
Today’s southerly swell is now reaching a peak across Northern NSW, and the general trend will be downwards through the middle of the week.
Today’s southerly swell is easing, and the general trend is downwards through the middle of the week.
Today's easing swells will continue to abate into Tuesday and will become very small by the afternoon.
We’ve got a relatively quiet week of surf ahead with mainly variable conditions expected until Friday, when a series of advancing fronts will strengthen a NW flow across the region.
We’re looking at slowly easing swells from today into Sunday and Monday.
