Southern Tasmanian Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday July 21st)

Best Days: No good days

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Tiny surf this week
• Inconsistent, tiny W/SW groundswell for Fri and Sat with N tending NE winds Fri, strong NE-E/NE Sat

Recap

The weekend started off bumpy across Clifton with waves in the 2ft+ range under a gusty NNE breeze, though conditions improved into the afternoon with a shift in winds more west of north.

The swell held with a reinforcing pulse of energy before starting to ease back through yesterday morning.

Today was back from the tiny 1-1.5ft range with north winds again.

Clifton Unicorns Saturday afternoon

This week and weekend (Jul 22 - 27)

I hope you’ve made the most of the recent run of swell as the coming period is very slow with nothing major at all due through this week.

A strong mid-latitude low forming in the Bight tomorrow will be too far north of us to generate any swell, with the coast expected to bottom out over the coming days.

The only hope for a small wave is into Friday/Saturday, with a distant and inconsistent W/SW groundswell on the cards. This is being generated by a weak frontal progression currently in the Heard Island region, with fetches of sub-gale-force W/SW winds due to produce a slow 1ft to maybe 1.5ft wave under offshore winds.

Otherwise the outlook is set to remain slow into early next week, but we’ll have a closer look at this in Wednesday and Friday’s outlooks.