Building swell from Friday

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday July 13th)

Best Days: Tomorrow beginners, early Friday, Saturday, Sunday morning, Monday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Tiny tomorrow with NW tending variable winds
  • New SW swell Fri with W/NW tending W/SW winds
  • Reinforcing W/SW swell Sat with N/NW tending N winds, easing Sun with fresh NW tending strong S/SW winds
  • Moderate sized S/SW swell Mon with variable tending SE winds

Recap

Tiny surf yesterday but nice and clean while today we've got onshore surf and a continuation of tiny waves.

This week and weekend (Jul 14 - 17)

Looking at the end of the week and tomorrow will remain tiny but become cleaner with an offshore NW tending variable breeze.

A new pulse of SW swell due Friday looks a little smaller, with the strengthening mid-latitude front, dipping south-east and strengthening to our south-west today now looking a bit weaker.

A short-lived fetch of strong to gale-force W-W/NW winds should produce a small swell to 2ft across Clifton on Friday, easing from 1-2ft on Saturday.

Winds are a little dicey but should be W/NW on Friday morning with a shallow W/SW change moving through mid-late morning.

Saturday looks great with N/NW tending N winds and there should be a new pulse of mid-period W/SW swell in the water, generated by a weak polar front Thursday.

Again the fetch around this front looks a touch weak and west but should keep 2ft waves hitting Clifton, easing from 1-2ft on Sunday.

Winds on Sunday will be best early and from the N/NW, giving into a strong S/SW change mid-morning so go the early.

Now, behind the weak front generating the weekend's reinforcing W/SW swell, a strengthening polar outbreak will form south of us, with a great fetch of strong to gale-force S/SW winds to be projected north up through our southern swell window.

The models diverge a little on the strength of this front but we should see at least 3ft of swell and with variable tending SE winds. We'll have to have a closer look at this on Friday.