Large swell easing steadily into the end of the week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 2nd December)

Best Days: Tomorrow, Friday morning, Saturday, next week

Recap

Small, fun waves yesterday while today our strong W/SW groundswell has filled in with 4ft sets across Clifton this morning.

The final track of the significant low linked today's swell was a bit more favourable for generating a significant pulse of SW groundswell this afternoon and with a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force aimed towards us (below), we should see sets reaching 4-6ft.

This week and weekend (Dec 3 - 6)

The very strong and powerful low that's currently pushing east, under us will generate that large pulse of SW groundswell this afternoon but then ease steadily owing to it clearing out of our swell window this evening.

A steady drop in size is still expected with easing sets from 4ft tomorrow morning, much smaller and to 2-3ft by early afternoon and back to 1-2ft on Friday morning.

Conditions looks great with a N/NW offshore, swinging W/NW late morning and holding, with N/NW winds Friday morning ahead of a W/SW change.

A small, weak front bringing Friday afternoon's change is likely to keep 1-2ft sets hitting Clifton into the afternoon, fading Saturday from 1-1.5ft.

The small reinforcing pulse of S/SW swell for the afternoon Saturday, from a polar fetch of S/SW winds tomorrow looks a bit smaller though fun and building to 2ft+ through the afternoon with offshore N/NE tending NE winds.

Longer term, another low is forecast to deepen west of us and then drift south-east across us, with a fetch of strong to gale-force S/SW winds generated on its backside as it pushes further east.

We may see a moderate sized S/SW swell for Monday/Tuesday, but we'll have a closer look at this Friday.