Fading surf, then we look to the east

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 10th August)

Best Days: Tomorrow, possibly Monday

Recap

Small and clean 1-2ft waves through yesterday, holding today with glassy conditions.

This week and weekend (Aug 11 - 16)

A small S/SW swell should maintain small and inconsistent 1-2ft sets across Clifton tomorrow, but make the most of it as following this the outlook is very slow. The swell was generated by a slim polar front and will be gone by Friday.

Conditions look clean with a light morning N/NW breeze tomorrow, variable into the afternoon with moderate to fresh N/NE tending NE winds Friday.

Looking at the synoptics and there are no decent swell generating systems due at all in our swell windows, with a broad and blocking low to our west-southwest due to persist over the coming days.

The only possible source of swell is a stronger and broader low forming in the southern Tasman Sea on the weekend, with a fetch of strong to gale-force E/SE-E winds developing just within our swell window on Sunday.

This might kick up a small 2ft of E/SE-SE swell for later Sunday and Monday across Clifton (larger across more exposed breaks down the South Arm) but winds look fresh from the E-E/SE on Sunday and S/SE Monday morning though possibly tending variable from mid-late morning.

We'll have a closer look at this on Friday as this could provide a window for fun waves with the easing E/SE swell.