Aside from an early window of light winds on Saturday, we’re looking at strengthening northerlies all weekend. But there are pockets of opportunity before and after this. More in the Forecaster Notes.
The image below shows storm force winds around the low, and also highlights the main headache I have at the moment - working out how much of this fetch is shadowed behind Tasmania, and how much sits just inside the western periphery of our acute south swell window. More in the Forecaster Notes.
A handful of good southerly swell pulses are on the way this period, with the most action likely into next week.
Our current strong, large and building swell will peak overnight and ease over the coming days but there's plenty more activity on the way for next week.
The coming forecast period is slow and not the cleanest owing to a positive Southern Annular Mode event. More info in the notes.
Today's large, building S/SW groundswell will peak later and then ease over the coming days as winds improve. Another strong low is due on the weekend, but further north in position.
Today's large, building groundswell will ease steadily over the coming days as winds provide options across most locations at stages. Another less favourable low is due to form on the weekend.
There’s a couple of swell sources on the synoptics right now. More in the Forecaster Notes.
We've got swells from either side of the compass this period, firstly north, then south, then north, then south again.
The main synoptic feature is a deep Southern Ocean low that's expected to *almost* bomb just W/SW of Tasmania. By ‘almost’, I mean ‘not quite reach the threshold requirements for a bombing low’, which is a 24hPa drop in 24 hours, though it certainly will come pretty close. More in the Forecaster Notes.
