A long, broad fetch of ESE/SE winds develops along the northern flank of the high, filling out that very favourable South Pacific corridor between the North Island and New Caledonia with strong winds to low end gales.
After a great run of surf the coming outlook is quite slim picking. There's more potential from later next week.
There's a bit of swell to end off the week and small windows of clean conditions but the outlook is better from Sunday and especially Monday.
Next week looks really active now, with a few different swell sources in the offing and a fair bit of model divergence which we will need to resolve on Friday.
Clean conditions and fun options for the South Coast over the coming days ahead of larger surf through next week and with favourable winds at stages.
A run of small to moderate swells over the coming days with favourable winds, bigger early next week as winds play nice.
Todays passage of a polar low with a favourably angled SSW fetch now slingshotting into Tasmanian latitudes is generating a solid S swell building into this evening.
Gales exiting Bass Strait today will see a first pulse of weaker refracted S swell later tomorrow but the real juice is being generated by a deeper fetch of severe gales tracking from 55S up to 40S, into the Tasman sea through today and early tomorrow.
Large surf is expected across the South Arm from now through until tomorrow morning, cleaning up and easing from Wednesday.
Mixed conditions this period with light winds over the coming mornings before shifting onshore in the lead up to an oversized SW groundswell.
