The peak of this swell cycle is expected on Saturday morning, however it will have been generated by the latter stages of the Southern Ocean progression as it rears up under the state.
A strong conveyor belt of fronts through the Southern Ocean - initially unfavourable aligned through our swell window - will generate a series of groundswells that will overlap through the latter part of the week ahead of a peak in size over the weekend.
A broad trade fetch on steroids is now slowly breaking down through the Coral, Tasman and South Pacific with a tropical low whizzing away to the SE.
A broad trade fetch on steroids is now slowly breaking down through the Coral, Tasman and South Pacific with a tropical low whizzing away to the SE.
A broad trade fetch on steroids is now slowly breaking down through the Coral, Tasman and South Pacific with a tropical low whizzing away to the SE.
The recent pattern of very strong highs moving through the Bight into the Tasman then resets over the weekend with a high likelihood of another surge of S-SE swell during this period
As I’ve mentioned all week, I really like the direction of this swell a little more for the South Arm, so we should see a nice push of energy into the region.
On the Mid Coast, this new reinforcing swell will have too much south in its direction and therefore won’t really get into the gulf.
Longer term has been downgraded - the storm track from Africa through the southern Indian Ocean is still looking very active however the fetch alignment has been tilted away from our swell window, meaning the WA coast will be less in the direct line of fire, and will receive sideband energy.
The dominant synoptic feature is a high pressure system in the southern Tasman Sea that’s directing a firm ridge over Northern NSW and SE Qld.
