Unfortunately this strong cold outbreak now looks to stall just too far West (behind the swell shadow of Tasmania) to really deliver any strong S swell to the East Coast, before weakening as it moves into the Tasman Sea swell window proper.
Tomorrow looks weak and west, with better surf expected to develop from Wednesday onwards.
New swell due early next week will have a lot of south in it.
A weak ridge from a high (1023hPa) tracking towards Tasmania supplies light winds tomorrow while TC Judy and Kevin both race away to the SE, supplying very little surf to the region.
Through Sun we’ll see increasing NE-N winds, along with a vey well aimed fetch of NE winds off the Gippsland to Bass Strait stretch whipping up NE windswell.
Good winds with fun surf for the weekend, windy and building through next week.
We may see a small amount of longer period E’ly energy as TC Judy briefly slows in the swell window. Nothing major, just a few 3ft sets. TC Kevin is now following the same path as TC Judy with just traces of E/NE-E energy added into the mix Sun/Mon.
A weak ridge from a high (1023hPa) tracking towards Tasmania supplies weak breezes tomorrow, likely SW inshore early before tending light SE-NE through the day. A continuing mix of S swells, mostly mid period from the frontal progression below Australia supplies some 2-3ft surf at S swell magnets, smaller elsewhere.
Improving conditions through the weekend though with plenty of size, bigger and windier next week, with quality waves in protected spots.
