South Australian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday December 28th)
Best Days: Keen surfers South Coast tomorrow morning, Mid Coast for the keen tomorrow morning and Wednesday, South Coast Saturday morning
Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)
- Small, weak mid-period W/SW-SW swell for Tue/Wed, clean each morning on the Mid (OK Tue AM down South)
- S/SE windswell for late week with onshore winds, lighter Sat AM
Peaky, lumpy waves across the South Coast Saturday morning with fun 2-3ft sets across Middleton, easing through the day, tiny into Sunday as the swell faded along with a morning change. The Mid Coast offered nothing of substance with tiny to flat surf.
Today some new mid-period swell has filled in across both coasts, coming in a bit better and earlier than expected with 1-2ft sets on the Mid Coast, 2-3ft down South but with onshore winds.
This week and weekend (Dec 29 – Jan 3)
We've got a fairly weak, average week of waves ahead, but the Mid Coast will provide tiny pulses of swell for the keen while the South Coast looks mostly onshore.
The front linked to today's swell is being backed up by a couple of similar, weak frontal systems with fetches of strong W/SW winds moving through our western/south-western swell windows.
As a result the Mid Coast is likely to persist around 1-1.5ft on the favourable parts of the tide tomorrow and Wednesday, tiny Thursday. The South Coast looks to be on the small side and 2ft to occasionally 3ft across Middleton tomorrow and Wednesday morning, easing thereafter.
Looking at the local winds and a light SE offshore is due on the Mid tomorrow morning, light S'ly down South creating workable conditions, shifting SW into the afternoon. SE winds are then due again Wednesday, moderate in strength across both regions, and fresher S/SE into the afternoon.
As touched on last week, a deepening inland surface trough squeezing a strong high to our south will see winds strengthen from the S/SE on Thursday, stronger into the evening.
This will whip up a stormy S/SE windswell down South, though light to moderate E/SE winds on Friday morning may offer a window for a surf. Size wise the windswell looks to reach 3ft+ late Thursday, easing from a similar size Friday morning, smaller Saturday as the windswell fades with morning variable winds. The Mid Coast isn't expected to offer any size, though a very inconsistent long-range W/SW groundswell should keep 1ft sets hitting the region Thursday and Friday.
Longer term a new inconsistent SW groundswell is due Monday, produced by a broad, though distant polar frontal progression east of Heard Island, but winds look to persist out of the S/SE all week, creating poor conditions down South. More on this in Wednesday’s update though.