Some small swell potential from the weekend

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 5th April)

Best Days: Selected locations tomorrow, possibly early Friday, Saturday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Small NE pulse for Sat, fading Sun
  • Fleeting pulse of S swell Fri PM with W tending S winds, gone Sat
  • Mid-period S swell for Mon with W/SW tending variable winds

Recap

Tiny to flat surf, similar this morning but a small pulse of S'ly groundswell may have been seen this afternoon to 2ft on the south magnets.

This week and weekend (Apr 6 - 11)

Any swell seen this afternoon out of the S'th is due to fade tomorrow leaving tiny waves on the coast.

We then look to the tropical low sitting off the south-east Queensland coast and this low looks to remain relatively weak and small through its entire life cycle while remaining north of our prime swell window.

This doesn't bode well for any major swell, but a slight intensification before it zips off to the south-east (with the help of a cold front discussed below) will generate a short-lived pulse of NE swell for the weekend but only to an inconsistent 2-3ft Saturday.

Coming back to the front, and we'll see a quick fire system pushing up past us Friday, bringing a small spike in energy to 2-3ft across the south magnets into the afternoon, gone Saturday and dropping from 1-2ft.

Locally winds should be offshore from the W Friday morning, shifting S into the afternoon and then N/NW tending W/NW on Saturday.

Of greater importance is a stronger cold outbreak pushing up and over us on the weekend, but unfortunately most of its swell producing will be done west of the state, and not in our swell window.

The slow moving nature will see persistent but only strong S/SW winds aimed up past us from Sunday afternoon through Monday. Size wise we're only looking at surf to 4ft or so across the south magnets Monday and with W/SW tending variable winds, but we'll have a closer look at this in Wednesday's notes.