Small N/NE swells followed by better S

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 6th January)

Best Days: Desperate surfers tomorrow morning, late Friday, Saturday afternoon and Sunday south swell magnets

Recap

Small N/NE swell Saturday which wasn't expected to be the best, improving late with a change for southern corners, and then small and clean on Sunday with 1-2ft of leftover swell.

A new S'ly swell should have spiked across south magnets through the day from the 'bombing low', with it coming in strong to 3-5ft this morning but on the ease.

This week and weekend (Jan 7 - 12)

All the southerly swell energy seen yesterday and today will be gone by tomorrow (1-2ft max) and we'll be left with small amounts of N/NE windswell this week.

A surface trough off the southern NSW coast will dip south-west towards us, generating a weak fetch of N/NE winds in our swell window, kicking up a small 2ft of N/NE windswell (max on the sets), easing slowly from 1-2ft on Wednesday as the trough slowly breaks down.

Winds tomorrow will be good early and W/NW, giving into N/NE sea breezes, with a S/SE change moving through before dawn Wednesday.

Thursday looks to be a lay day, while some N/NE windswell is due into the end of the week as an approaching front brings strengthening N/NE winds down the southern NSW coast.

A bit more size is expected with sets to 2ft+ likely and with gusty N'ly winds, shifting NW later in the day.

The trough moving through overnight will be attached to a stronger polar front and we'll see a great fetch of S/SW winds projected through our southern swell window, with an increase in windswell due Saturday ahead of better mid-period swell Sunday to 3-4ft or so.

Winds look favourable and W/SW tending SW Saturday, W ahead of E/NE sea breezes on Sunday. Following this we're looking at an extended period of increased N/NE swell activity, but more on this Wednesday.