Craig

Large swells to start and end the week

Java, Bali, Lombok, Sumbawa forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Sunday 1st May)

Best Days: Every day over the coming period

This coming week and weekend (May 2 – 8)

Wednesday's large long-period S/SW groundswell (pictured below, taken by Harley Bankseased very slowly over the last few days, smaller into this morning and is expected to bottom out into this afternoon/evening.

Into tomorrow and Tuesday though our two strong pulses of S/SW groundswell are due, with the swells coming in well across Western Australia.

Both pulses are due to be around a similar size, with good 6ft+ sets across exposed breaks in Bali and occasional 8ft bomb sets before the swell starts to ease into Tuesday afternoon, further through Wednesday.

Moderate to fresh E/SE trades are due through tomorrow and Tuesday (variable early each morning) before weakening and tending variable from Thursday.

As touched on the last few updates, heading into the end of the week we're set to see a large long-period S/SW groundswell emanating from the Southern Ocean.

This will be side-band energy off an XXL swell hitting the Southern Australian coast, produced by a vigorous and expansive storm developing under the influence of the Long Wave Trough.

A polar low developed in the Heard Island region last night and is generating a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force SW winds through our southern swell window, weakening but persisting on the edge of our swell window through Monday.

This should produce a large long-period S/SW groundswell that's expected to arrive through Thursday, building towards 6-8ft later in the day at exposed breaks ahead of a peak Friday morning around 6-8ft+.

The swell should start to ease later in the day, dropping back more noticeably overnight and down from 6ft+ Saturday morning. A reinforcing S/SW pulse for Saturday afternoon should slow the easing trend through the day before dropping back from 4-5ft Sunday morning.

As touched on earlier, light variable winds are due from Thursday, offshore locally each morning and variable into the afternoon's. This means the Bukit reefs won't becoming as perfectly lined up and crisp as they usually are under trade-winds.

Longer term we've got some fun SW groundswell on the cards from the following weekend with not much in between, but check back here Tuesday for more on this.

16 day Bali Forecast Graph
16 day East Java Forecast Graph
16 day Sumbawa Forecast Graph

Comments

southey's picture
southey's picture
southey commented Monday, 2 May 2016 at 6:58pm

news to hand .....
Fast times in bali .....
Notorious MMA nutcase kills cop in stand off with knife .
True to form the whole thing gets video'd by camera phones ....
all in broad daylight .

" SA's Reserve Capacity "

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM commented Monday, 2 May 2016 at 7:07pm

What's your source Southey, sounds interesting.

Have you ever checked out UFC's Uriah Faber's story of a massive fight in Bali? Recommended.
And let's just say he didn't have it all his own way. Starts around 2.45

southey's picture
southey's picture
southey commented Monday, 2 May 2016 at 8:43pm

Nah , this guy was ( he got shot by the police ) not necessarily European ( but could have been Asian - Russian ) , bald head full tatts , and he obviously done a fair bit of steroids.
Anyway very graffic video and still photos come up on a Javanese mates timeline in FB . Tipping it got dragged down .....

" SA's Reserve Capacity "

southey's picture
southey's picture
southey commented Monday, 2 May 2016 at 9:09pm

" SA's Reserve Capacity "

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM commented Monday, 2 May 2016 at 9:17pm

Pretty sad.

And 14+ shots - none of this "I'll use a Tazer set to stun" bullshit.

southey's picture
southey's picture
southey commented Monday, 2 May 2016 at 9:47pm

He's had it coming to him apparently . Been involved in lot of assaults on tourists and locals alike . He also may of stabbed one police officer in this confrontation . ( yet to be confirmed )

" SA's Reserve Capacity "

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Monday, 2 May 2016 at 9:57pm

Saw someone who knew the guy that got killed mentioning this on FB. Said he had mental health issues that could of been possibly treated.. but also comments he stabbed and killed a policeman.

Don't really care for anyone who kills a policemen just doing their job to protect the community.

prothero's picture
prothero's picture
prothero commented Monday, 2 May 2016 at 11:02pm

Wow.....heavy

Prothero

udo's picture
udo's picture
udo commented Monday, 2 May 2016 at 11:13pm

Bag thief beaten in Bali as cops watch - Liveleak

# Autophagy for Health - Just do it #

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot commented Tuesday, 3 May 2016 at 7:07am

Jeezus they weren't scared to put a coupla rounds into him were they