Craig

Large swells to come

Java, Bali, Lombok, Sumbawa forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Tuesday 2nd June)

Best Days: Every day over the coming period

This week and next week (Jun 5 - 12)

The surf should be slowly building across the region today as a new long-range SW groundswell fills in. This should reach 5-6ft across exposed breaks into this evening, and hold into tomorrow morning at a similar size.

Into Friday afternoon a new large S/SW groundswell is due to start showing across the coast, peaking through Saturday ahead of a secondary pulse Sunday.

These swells were generated by a broad and elongated fetch of severe-gale W/SW winds through the south-eastern Indian Ocean.

The first pulse should offer infrequent 8ft to occasionally 10ft waves across exposed breaks Saturday as it peaks, before a second pulse Sunday comes in at a similar size. The models are showing more size into Sunday but this is because it's incorrectly combining Saturday's easing pulse and Sunday's new pulse.

A drop in size is due through Monday from 6-8ft+ at exposed breaks, smaller into Tuesday morning ahead of a new and late increase in new long-period S/SW groundswell.

This will be generated over the coming days by a vigorous and broad frontal system in a similar position to the ones generating the weekend's swells, with exposed breaks due to kick later Tuesday back to 6-8ft before peaking Wednesday morning to 6-8ft+.

After this a general drop in swell is due into the end of the week, slowed slightly by a long-range and inconsistent SW groundswell pulse Thursday evening Friday.

Winds over the coming period are due to back off from fresh to strong E/SE trades during mid-next week before possibly picking up again the week thereafter.

Longer term a cut-off low in the Indian Ocean will generate a funky S/SW groundswell for the week starting the 15th, with nothing too major on the cards after that. More on this Tuesday though.

16 day Bali Forecast Graph
16 day East Java Forecast Graph
16 day Sumbawa Forecast Graph

Comments

thegreeniguana's picture
thegreeniguana's picture
thegreeniguana commented Thursday, 4 Jun 2015 at 11:43pm

So my missus is giving me grief and wants to do yoga while we are on our family holiday . (Even though she has been to yoga every day so far while the surf has been shit). Can I expect 10 foot ulus on Sunday? Should I put my foot down?

gibbsy's picture
gibbsy's picture
gibbsy commented Friday, 5 Jun 2015 at 8:16am

Go to G-land. Free yoga at Jungle camp. Good teachers. Wife happy, you barrelled. easy.

thegreeniguana's picture
thegreeniguana's picture
thegreeniguana commented Friday, 5 Jun 2015 at 8:32pm

Cheers mate. I might try that one on when the kids are a bit older.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Friday, 5 Jun 2015 at 10:09am

Nah, I don't think Ulus will be 10ft, more exposed breaks 8-10ft.

Prob more 6-8ft Ulus.

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml commented Friday, 5 Jun 2015 at 5:16am

This swell seems to be lacking in the oomph department . Ie period . Afraid it might lack somewhat . Its full moon & the swell isnt booming .yet )

thegreeniguana's picture
thegreeniguana's picture
thegreeniguana commented Friday, 5 Jun 2015 at 8:30pm

Well the foot went down and I guess I ll have to settle for 6 -8 rather than 10. Lucky the surf was pretty ordinary this week so I ve been able to rack up a few brownie points. Family holidays are definitely a complex strategic game.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Monday, 8 Jun 2015 at 5:55pm

Looks like those swells came in the goods...

www.instagram.com/spud_is

#goldendays #DP #carveperu #blessed @carve_indonesia @[email protected]_carve @dylanshapes

www.instagram.com/kirkflitoff

Deserts showed us three days of magic! Best trip with the best [email protected]__robertson @coryrob @midgetmagic @bottle82 @vasicek88 @[email protected] #stayoverit #desertpoint #lineup #lombok

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml commented Tuesday, 9 Jun 2015 at 1:39pm

Best DP in years i heard .

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Tuesday, 9 Jun 2015 at 1:42pm

Wow crazy, as there's been some epic days the last few years.

Gary G's picture
Gary G's picture
Gary G commented Tuesday, 9 Jun 2015 at 8:03pm

Big call, now that everyone has a camera there's plenty of great DP floating around the internet

I’ve created a monster. Cause nobody wants to ride faceys no more, they want Gary; I’m chopped liver.

But if ya want Gary this is what I’ll give ya: a little creatine kiss from a hard licker

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml commented Tuesday, 9 Jun 2015 at 7:11pm

Proberly small but good direction

southey's picture
southey's picture
southey commented Tuesday, 9 Jun 2015 at 8:03pm

Tide flow . !
PS if anyone is going to G Land in the next few weeks/ months , pack a springy ! !

" SA's Reserve Capacity "

udo's picture
udo's picture
udo commented Tuesday, 9 Jun 2015 at 8:13pm

What a time to be at G land ......this month is legend month ...Peter Mccabes 60th birthday G land bash ..Lopez and every other surf legend will be there.
how good would that be, Caml are you allowed back into Indo ?

wellymon's picture
wellymon's picture
wellymon commented Tuesday, 9 Jun 2015 at 9:07pm

No passport Udes.
Thats the first thing eh...?

Our brains are too small at the moment to comprehend the reality of what's happening in our forests . We're only just waking up so to speak . The big problem is we think we know everything, we are specks of dust on a timeline and we know nothing .