TC Jasper has formed in water surrounding the Solomon Islands and is intensifying under favourable conditions. Most models now are suggesting a SW-W curvature as it enters the Coral Sea, with a limited surf potential compared to Mondays notes, especially for temperate NSW.

Make the most of the waves in the gulf before the swell fades and winds go north Friday. There'll be windows down South to follow.

Good swell for the coming days.

No major swells expected this week. The headline feature is a potential major tropical cyclone drifting into the Coral Sea with a poleward (southwards) track late this week, over the weekend and into next week. It’s unlikely for the system to reach far enough south to generate surf for NETas but there are some modelled outcomes suggesting it might.