The coming week will see flukey winds for the South Coast with small swells. A better swell is due on the weekend with favourable winds for the gulf.
There'll be windows of surf across both regions but with generally small surf as troughy weather dominates. More size is due from Sunday but with deteriorating winds.
The coming period looks fun with light winds each morning and small levels of persistent swell.
Once the tradewind flow sets up early next week as the blocking high enters the Tasman we should start to see an increase in tradewind swell, likely by Tues at the latest.
Into next week and the main story is a large high moving into the Tasman and becoming slow moving, setting up a summer-style blocking pattern with developing NE winds and NE windswell, becoming solid by the end of the week.
Surf options remain minimal for the period, while a better swell for late next week looks to be met with onshore winds.
The trade flow is enhanced by another tropical development linked to a Westerly wind burst (WWB) extending from PNG longitudes into Fijian areas. This WWB is creating a long, angled trough through the South Pacific Convergence Zone and squeezing onto the large high as it moves slowly in New Zealand longitudes.
Troughy weather and no major cold fronts will result in small surf with lighter periods of wind each morning.
That NE windswell looks to be persistent under the slow moving pattern with high pressure drifting towards New Zealand. We should see an uptick in size through the second half of next week.
The weekend will be mostly poor but early next week better waves are due on the exposed beaches, possibly continuing into mid-week (check back Monday).
