Windy swell on the weekend, small most of next week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Western Australia Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 9th March)

Best Days: Saturday protected spots in the South West, Sunday morning in the South West, Monday morning magnets across the South West, Thursday morning

Recap

A slight kick in swell across all locations yesterday morning with workable conditions for keen surfers across the South West.

This morning the South West was average with S'ly breezes while Mandurah and Perth offered some tiny windswell peaks.

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This week and weekend (Mar 10 – 16)

As touched on earlier this week, we should see some new mid-period SW swell building across the South West later today, ahead of some better SW groundswell tomorrow.

Both these swells were generated by the same storm, with a broad but relatively weak polar front forming west of Heard Island and projecting towards us while weakening this week.

We should see slightly inconsistent 4-5ft surf across magnets in the South West, 1-1.5ft in Mandurah and 1ft in Perth.

Winds are still expected to be fresh to strong from the SE tomorrow, so you'll have to stick to more protected breaks closer to shore as offshore reefs will be bumpy and choppy.

Sunday will see similar fresh to strong winds but from the E/SE. The swell will be on the ease back from 3-4ft at magnets in the South West, tiny to the north.

Into next week the surf will continue to ease under a fresh E/NE offshore Monday, clean again Tuesday.

Tropical Cyclone Dumazile failed to generate any noticeable groundswell for our region next week, but the remnants of the cyclone will enter the Southern Ocean, aiming a polar fetch of severe-gale W'ly winds through our south-western swell window.

This should generate a good long-period SW groundswell for Thursday, building to 4-5ft across the South West into the afternoon, 1-2ft in Mandurah but only tiny in Perth.

The swell is expected to ease from a slightly smaller size Friday, smaller into Saturday.

Winds Thursday morning as the swell builds look favourable and offshore but an afternoon change looks to linger into Friday.

Longer term there's some more small swell due next week with no major developments as of yet on the cards.