No great change to the weekend f/cast. High pressure in the Tasman and a W’ly biased ridge across Tasmania as fronts and a deep low pass to the south.
A mixed bag still expected this weekend with residual S swell trains and building E-E/NE swells from a broad, angular tropical depression centred around New Caledonia.
A trough hovering about the South Coast will see a N’ly flow through Sat, with good odds for a morning NW breeze and a late tilt back to the NW, especially south of Sydney. Further north freshening N’lies look more likely. A few leftover S swell trains should hold some 2 occ 3ft sets at S facing beaches but energy will be in the way down.
The models have now cooled on the prospects of a stalled LWT below the continent next week, instead swinging towards a mobile frontal passage through the Southern Ocean.
There’s been a slight improvement in the weekend outlook - for Victor, anyway - with the models strengthening a series of fronts through the Bight. The Mid's looking great too!
There’s been a slight improvement in the weekend outlook.
The current winter-calibre storm exits to the SE over the next 24 hrs with a high pressure to the north maintaining a ridge with the W’ly flow which continues across the SW of the state. An elevated high pressure belt over the state and high in Madagascan longitudes maintains a NE track of storms from Heard Island to WA longitudes.
We still have a large (1032hPa) high slow moving over NSW directing SE winds in the sub-tropics, extending out to a tradewind fetch adjacent to New Caledonia and extending into the Coral Sea. This is producing plenty of fun surf across CQ and this pattern is expected to continue through the week and over the weekend.
We still have a large (1032hPa) high slow moving over NSW directing light N’lies over Tasmania. A slow moving frontal progression is gradually working it’s way clear of New Zealand longitudes while sending pulses of S’ly groundswell our way. High pressure does clear the coast this week with an increasing N’ly flow before a zonal pattern brings a W-NW flow for the weekend.
We still have a large (1032hPa) high slow moving over NSW directing light N’lies over temperate NSW and SE winds in the sub-tropics, extending out to a tradewind fetch adjacent to New Caledonia. A slow moving frontal progression is gradually working it’s way clear of New Zealand longitudes while sending pulses of S’ly groundswell our way.
