The current northwards moving low and proximate fetch will generate a quick spike in S swell before it quickly moves away with following fronts now looking less aligned for S swell production.
This is driving stiff W’ly tending SW’ly winds all the way up to the tropics - even New Caledonia is seeing this stiff SW flow! The current northwards moving low and proximate fetch will generate a quick spike in S swell before it quickly moves away with following fronts now looking more zonal and not as favourable for swell production.
The low responsible for our current local swell is moving outside of our swell window, and so surf size will ease into Tuesday.
A deep low pressure system near Tasmania is directing strong southerly winds across the South Oz coast.
The long term looks more typical for Victoria wind-wise, with an amplifying long wave trough west of the state maintaining moderate to fresh NW winds for much of the week.
The onshore pattern remains established over the weekend with high pressure riding at sub-tropical latitudes and a zone of enhanced storminess riding NE with seas in excess of 25ft later this week.
No swell generating winds in the swell window so we’ll see flat surf for all of this week.
We have a deep low (985hPa) adjacent to Tasmania and another attached low centre further E in the Tasman with the long E’ly infeed into this complex low gyre focussed near the west coast of the North Island aimed up at Tasmania.
We have a deep low (985hPa) adjacent to Tasmania and another attached low centre further E in the Tasman with the long E/NE infeed into this complex low gyre focussed near the west coast of the North Island and slowly sliding out of the swell window.
We have a deep low (985hPa) adjacent to Tasmania and another attached low centre further E in the Tasman with the long E/NE infeed into this complex low gyre focussed near the west coast of the North Island and slowly sliding out of the swell window.
