Craig

Fun end to the week, new swells for the weekend.. but the winds

Victoria Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 1st June)

Best Days: All locations from late morning tomorrow, Friday Surf Coast, Monday, Tuesday possibly on the beaches

Recap

The surf cleaned up nicely across the Surf Coast yesterday after Monday afternoon's nasty change, with a mix of SW groundswell and localised windswell coming in around 3-4ft. Conditions remained favourable in protected spots into the afternoon as the swell eased a touch.

Today we've seen a strong cold front push up and into us, bringing strong onshore winds mixed in with a new SW groundswell which will then be replaced by a larger S/SW groundswell this afternoon. There's also windswell in the mix and we should see the Surf Coast reaching 5-6ft this afternoon and 8ft on the Mornington Peninsula as winds shift more towards the S'th and ease a touch.

This week and weekend (Jun 4 - 7)

The mix of swells building this afternoon were generated by a great fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds moving through our swell window the last couple of days, plus an additional front spawning off this storm and pushing up and into us last night.

We'll see the mix of swells peaking overnight and easing back through tomorrow, dropping from 4-5ft+ on the Surf Coast swell magnets and 6-8ft on the sets across the Mornington Peninsula.

Conditions will improve through the morning and likely be really fun into the afternoon as a light to possibly moderate dawn S'ly breeze eased and becomes variable late morning and remains so into the afternoon.

Friday will then be best on the Surf Coast with a NW tending W/NW breeze as the swell continues to ease from 3ft, 4-5ft to the east.

Our mix of SW and S/SW groundswell for later Friday and Saturday are still on track.

A pre-frontal fetch of strong to gale-force NW winds should produce a small pulse of SW swell for later Friday and Saturday morning, but a secondary fetch of polar W tending W/SW gales in our southern swell window should produce a better S/SW groundswell for the afternoon.

Size wise the Surf Coast looks to be 3ft or so on Saturday morning, with the new S/SW groundswell kicking to 3ft to likely 4ft through the day, with 4-5ft sets on the Mornington Peninsula, kicking to 5-6ft through the afternoon.

Unfortunately our onshore change for Saturday is still on the cards as a surface trough slides up from the south bringing moderate S/SE winds, shifting S/SW into the afternoon.

Sunday isn't any better as winds revert back to the S/SE as the mix of swells ease slowly from 3ft and 4-5ft respectively.

More variable winds are likely on Monday (tending N/NW-NW) ahead of weak sea breezes. The swell will be on a slow easing trend, with some small reinforcing mid=period S/SW energy from a weaker polar front moving in behind the stronger low Saturday. The Surf Coast should still offer 3ft sets, 4ft+ or so to the east in the morning before easing.

Longer term a large blocking high will slowly move in from the west next week as strengthening polar storms squeeze its southern flank. We may see some fun S/SW groundswell spreading up from this activity mid-late week, but we'll have a closer look at this Friday.

Comments

The green wall's picture
The green wall's picture
The green wall commented Thursday, 4 Jun 2020 at 7:12am

Is it just me or is there something up with the Surfcoast surfcams? All I have got lately is the "Sorry, We're currently experiencing technical difficulties...." message when trying to view 13th, Torquay or Lorne surfcam. It's been going on for a few weeks...
Ben/Craig??
Thanks.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 4 Jun 2020 at 7:20am

Definitely working here. Are you on computer or mobile? What OS?

Bnkref's picture
Bnkref's picture
Bnkref commented Thursday, 4 Jun 2020 at 7:24am

Working fine here too.

The green wall's picture
The green wall's picture
The green wall commented Thursday, 4 Jun 2020 at 8:08am

That's strange. I'm using an Android with system 7.1.1. This mobile has worked no worries for the last few years on the swellnet surfcams... It has just been not working recently (month or so).

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 4 Jun 2020 at 8:18am

You on the App or the mobile site? Andriod browsers are a bit patchy.. can you try Chrome?

The green wall's picture
The green wall's picture
The green wall commented Thursday, 4 Jun 2020 at 9:21am

Mobile site. Installed chrome and now working through there. Also just installed the Swellnet app and surfcams all working that way too.
Think you are right the link on my phone was using the default phone browser (google) and causing the issue. Funny though, it had not caused a problem for the last few years...
Anyway, happy and back online!
Cheers Ben.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 4 Jun 2020 at 10:51am

Chrome almost always fixes everything!

Thanks for the feedbck. We need to debug some of these other browsers but the % of their use across the site is generally quite low, and the tech problems so erratic, that it's difficult to do efficiently.

Nick Bone's picture
Nick Bone's picture
Nick Bone commented Thursday, 4 Jun 2020 at 10:48am

Ohhhhh technology. Meant to make life easier but i just seem to be yelling at thin air more and more.

I am the bone

greyhound's picture
greyhound's picture
greyhound commented Thursday, 4 Jun 2020 at 6:45pm

Fussy buggers..