Great end to the week, good Surf Coast waves again from Sunday
Victoria Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 2nd November)
Best Days: Surf Coast Thursday, both coasts early Friday, Surf Coast afternoon, Surf Coast Sunday and Monday mornings
Recap
Excellent conditions across the Surf Coast reefs the last two days, with 3-4ft surf yesterday morning, strengthening from mid-morning with a new W/SW groundswell pulse.
Today the strongest increase in swell has been seen with clean pumping 4-5ft+ sets on the Surf Coast.
Protected locations to the east have been the pick that way.
This week and weekend (Nov 3 - 6)
From this afternoon we're due to see a slow downwards trend in surf across the coast.
In saying this, tomorrow afternoon's reinforcing W/SW groundswell from a fetch moving south of the Bight now should keep 3-4ft waves hitting the Surf Coast all day, with 5-6ft sets on the Mornington Peninsula, easing more noticeably from 3ft and 4-5ft respectively Friday.
Winds tomorrow will continue to favour the Surf Coast reefs with a morning W/NW'ly, tending W/SW through the mid-late afternoon.
Friday however should finally see a small window for locations east of Melbourne. An early N'ly breeze is expected, tending N/NW by mid-late morning and fresher NW-W/NW into the afternoon.
Now, our strong cold outbreak due across the south-east of the country this weekend is still on track, with a strengthening and vigorous front due to project a small fetch of gale to severe-gale W/SW winds towards us.
The front will spawn south of WA, push under the Bight and then into us Friday evening and early Saturday.
A large W/SW groundswell is expected with a mix of windswell, mid-period energy and longer 15s energy, peaking into Saturday afternoon. Saturday morning will still be solid but not as strong.
The Surf Coast should build to an easy 6ft on the sets, if not a touch bigger, with 8ft+ storm surf on the Mornington Peninsula.
Conditions will be poor in any case Saturday with a strong W/SW breeze.
Sunday however will see another front pushing in quickly from the west, resulting in winds swinging offshore from the W/NW through the morning, and back to the W/SW through the afternoon. Yet another front approaching from the Bight is due to swing winds NW after dark, so the late one may be on with winds veering back to the W/NW.
This front moving through Sunday will also generate a reinforcing W/SW groundswell for later Sunday but more so Monday morning.
Size wise we should see the Surf Coast dropping back to 4-5ft range (possibly still the odd bomb at magnets), easing from 3-5ft Monday morning. The Mornington Peninsula will be large and to 6-8ft Sunday, easing from 6ft+ Monday.
Winds on Monday are looking excellent for both coasts at stages during the day with that approaching front, producing N/NW tending variable breezes. We'll confirm this Friday though.
Longer term we've got plenty more moderate sized W/SW swell for next week with westerly breezes, but more on this Friday.
Comments
i cant comment?
There we go. Maybe to many angry words in comment. But can this west poo fruit off. Its novemebrr
Wave buoy still offline, rang through to the ports and the man suggested I fill out a form online requesting the service be restored which you can do so here: http://www.vicports.vic.gov.au/pages/contact.aspx
The mre requests they get the more urgency the request will get dealt with
Given the swells expected this weekend I think this would be pretty important!
Why is it so important? The swells still going to come!
Thanks for the link, I sent an email explaining why they should not put it back up.
Hako can you supply a copy of the email would love to duplicate it. Better yet an online petition could be started.
A petition against their petition, that's my sort of logic wharfie.
Hako I would write up a draft petition myself but you my friend are a better wordsmith.
Yeah we've been in contact with them as well.
Hey Craig, looking at the wams do you still think the swell for this Saturday will peak in the arvo seems to be peaking early morning ?
Cheers
Will have an update tomorrow :)
hako could I please get a copy as well. I'm sure there is some good logic within.
http://www.vicports.vic.gov.au/pages/contact.aspx
Use the link above and tell them what a great job their doing , make it personal a real pat on the back, all these other dicks are "hey,where's my wave data, give me back my wave data" probably didn't even use the word please.
All you guy's that need to check the wave data before you waste valuable time travelling down coast, think about what a beautiful coast we have and come down cause you enjoy the environment, if your here just for the waves, what can I say? Fuck off. :-)))
Ill give it a try.
Vic Ports
Thank you for removing the wave data for public viewing. Luxuries such as the information supplied not only encourage laziness from boat users and surfers who are unable to look at weather forecasts for themselves and make sensible decisions. This has also contributed to the dangerous overcrowding of surf breaks but has also become an environmental issue with more people wasting fossil fuels to commute from suburban Melbourne in droves to surf either the East or West coast of Victoria.
The decision to turn of the wave Data should not only be applauded for improving water safety but also for protecting the environment from the droves who disrespect it on their weekly commute to surf or go boating.
Thanks again
WharfJunkie
LIKE! vote ONE Wharfjunkie.
I think you'll find the wave data is used mainly by boaties and not surfers.
To have this data available for verifying swell and storm data, not just in regards to surfing is invaluable.
To try and limit it's availability is selfish.
Find it hard they would turn off the buoy at the entrance of Australia's biggest port, hopefully just a technical issue in the site move. Has anything been said about Sorell buoy downtime by BOM? While not ideal it would be better than nothing
Half the surfers who read the data wouldn't know what they are looking at anyway.
They also struggle to identify surfable waves unless they see someone on it or have read about it on a website or other media source.
It would be interesting to see how uncrowded the waves got if people had to rely on their own forecasting methods instead of the internet. I dare you to do it for a month.
Sounds great - we rely on the internet too much for weather forecasts. Maybe we should also stop looking at the weather maps on the TV and in the papers. But why stop there? We could even just stop checking the surf in the morning and rock up to the beach with a blindfold on and decide if its worth a surf based on our natural instinct. That's what our ancestors did and apparently surfing was way better back in the day.
Great idea surfer99 3/4 of Melbourne's surfing population already run around blindly with no idea on what looks like good surf yet paddle out because they see someone out there. The thing is if you rely on instinct those who have put in the hard yards learning will manage to get good waves.
WJ, I think that the fact that 3/4 (or even a higher percentage) of Melbourne's surfing population is clueless is a great thing. They crowd breaks but don't get any waves - thus discouraging a higher proportion of surfers of regular (or above) ability to bother paddling out.
reminds me of an old philosophy problem that Kant talked about ( the categorical imperative i believe he called it) that states that if every person in the world did it, would it be ok (i.e: not kill the planet - think littering). I believe its ur mind state that is the problem here not the people partaking in an activity that you do - to me surfing is one of those things the entire world could partake in with out actually killing the Earth. a true rarity
Doesn't look like it's going to be put up again.
Great news.