Fun weekend, Surf Coast through next week
Victoria Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 4th September)
Best Days: Saturday Surf Coast, Sunday both coasts, next week Surf Coast
Poor tiny and onshore waves yesterday morning, building through the afternoon. This morning the swell was on the ease with a weaker onshore breeze but conditions were still well below average.
This weekend (Sep 5 - 6)
Tomorrow is still looking fun for the Surf Coast with a mix of new long-range and inconsistent SW groundswell with some larger and more consistent mid-period SW swell.
The Surf Coast should hang around the 3ft range all day with morning W/NW winds, swinging light to moderate onshore through the day. The Mornington Peninsula will be average and around 6ft.
Sunday will be the day to surf east of Melbourne with easing 4-5ft+ waves (2ft to occasionally 3ft on the Surf Coast) under a fresh N/NE tending N'ly breeze. The beaches on the Surf Coast will provide the cleanest conditions, with winds possibly swinging N/NW later.
Monday onwards (Sep 7 – 11)
Monday's mix of long-range and inconsistent W/SW groundswell with some short-range W/SW swell also in the mix is also on track, with the vigorous polar frontal progression in the Indian Ocean generating the long-range swell coming in generally on forecast.
This swell should build through Monday to a very inconsistent 3ft to occasionally 4ft on the Surf Coast into the afternoon with 6ft to sometimes 8ft sets on the Mornington Peninsula.
The short-range will be similar in size but more consistent.
Winds are looking good all day for the Surf Coast with a fresh W/NW'ly, so there's no rush to get out early.
Tuesday is looking interesting, with a frontal system pushing through the evening Monday due to produce a reinforcing short-range W/SW swell but this only looks to produce similar sized and easing 3-4ft sets on the Surf Coast through the morning with 6-8ft waves on the Mornington Peninsula.
Winds will be good and from the W/NW through the morning, swinging SW through the day.
Through the rest of the week, moderate pulses of SW groundswell are due from a flurry of strong pre-frontal activity swinging in from the Indian Ocean under the country through the weekend and next week.
The Surf Coast looks to hang around the 3ft range from Wednesday through Friday with 6ft sets on the Mornington Peninsula with winds from the W/NW. Friday should see winds swing more N'ly favouring the Mornington Peninsula.
Longer term there's nothing too major on the cards, but we'll review this again on Monday. Have a great weekend!