A deep low is moving slowly towards New Zealand but the main bulk of the fetch has already rotated away from the East Coast with an off axis fetch aimed at South Pacific Islands. Elongated high pressure is moving into the Tasman with an approaching trough, front and cut-off low expected to tighten the pressure gradient leading to freshening N’lies from Boxing Day.

The Mid Coast will continue to offer surf the whole period, though at times with poor conditions.

Plenty of quality swell still to come before quietening down a little next week.

In the short run, we’ll see a wintry type of pattern develop with strong SW winds tending S/SW-S  as a low moves east of Tasmania.