A low pressure system developing north of New Zealand’s North Island drifts south to be over the North Island Wed, and while that blocks most of the fetch from generating swell for the East Coast, it does shoot out a fetch through Cook Strait Wed/Thurs which looks like a tidy source of ESE swell for the region Fri/Sat.

The first half of next week still looks fun.

Winds will be poor though, and poor through to the middle of the week as the position of the long wave trough and a mid Indian Ocean high direct onshore winds into WA, with a series of rolling disturbances caused my cold fronts being pushed around a polar low slow moving between 90-100E. 

No change to the headline feature: another robust low forming in a trough line East of Tasmania. It does seem to be running early, with gales to storm force winds now occurring out of Bass Strait through the early afternoon and severe gales expected to form adjacent to the East Coast overnight.