STC Donna reached Cat 4 strength over the weekend, and was actually upgraded to Cat 5 this morning, with average wind speeds of 110kts and gusts to 140kts. That's about 260km/hr.
Today's new south swell has built a little more slowly than Friday’s notes anticipated, but I’m not revising my forecast size from this event.
Easing S'ly and S/SE swells tomorrow, smaller but cleaner Wednesday. Fun but inconsistent NE swell for Saturday.
Easing SE swell with onshore winds tomorrow, clean but tiny Wednesday. New swells for the weekend.
Large onshore building W/SW swell tomorrow, cleaner and easing Wednesday, great Thursday. Another large stormy swell on the cards for later Sunday/Monday.
Easing surf with clean conditions tomorrow and Wednesday down South. Strong new W/SW groundswell filling in Thursday with favourable winds. Smaller and clean over the weekend.
Average onshore waves tomorrow, better Wednesday but small. New very inconsistent W/SW groundswell building Thursday, but onshore at the peak. Better weekend.
Crikey - the long term surf forecast got a heck of a lot more difficult over the last few days.
Small inconsistent S/SE groundswell for tomorrow, larger out of the south Sunday, easing slowly from Monday with improving winds.
We’ve shifted from a scenario on Wednesday where TC Donna was expected to remain completely outside of our swell window (Wednesday night's model run) due to the swell shadow afforded by New Caledonia, to a situation where it's now a possible swell generator for many parts of the East Coast (Friday morning's run).
