There’s still some model divergence on the position of the low on Sun, and a fetch of strong winds on the southern flank of the low. Either way we’ll see large storm surf from the SE to ESE develop, in conjunction with building NE swell.
The multiple fetches coming off a Tasman low near New Zealand anchored by a high just east of Tasmania are now starting to wane. Current ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes show a weakening fetch of SE winds in the Central/Northern Tasman and a thin fetch of strong winds out of Cook Strait. That will lead to a slow easing trend through tomorrow, accelerating into Fri and the start of the week-end.
Tiny to flat surf ahead of some building S swell Saturday, stormy and out of the SE on Sunday.
Smaller but cleaner surf tomorrow, becoming windy again Friday with a small reinforcing swell. Larger surf on the weekend with windows.
The multiple fetches coming off a Tasman low near New Zealand anchored by a high just east of Tasmania are now starting to wane. Current ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes show a weakening fetch of SE winds in the Central/Northern Tasman and a thin fetch of strong winds out of Cook Strait. That will lead to a slow easing trend through tomorrow, accelerating into Fri and the start of the week-end.
Plenty of swell from the west, then larger from the south on the weekend but winds are tricky and not ideal.
Workable winds for the exposed beaches to end the week with a tricky W'ly swell. The weekend and early-mid next week look generally poor.
Several juicy fetches will send swell across the Tasman this week with a low moving E of Bass Strait on the weekend expected to see large storm surf develop.
The building blocks are now in place for an active week of surf from the SE. A complex, multi-centred low is stationed over New Zealand with a strong (1029hPa) high located equidistant between Tasmania and the South Island offering excellent cradling support for the low.
The outlook remains out of season with more swell coming from the south-east than south-west.
