Plenty of swell and wind for this week
Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 19th August)
Best Days: Every day this week working the winds
Good waves for beginners all weekend, though best Saturday with the most size, while today we've got a new strong W/SW groundswell filling in though with average winds.
This week and weekend (Aug 20 – 25)
We've got an active period of surf ahead but also with plenty of wind. Today's W/SW groundswell (mixed in with windswelly W/SW-SW swell) will ease through today, but a strengthening mid-latitude front pushing in from the west will steady wave heights and produce a larger increase in W/SW groundswell Wednesday.
It looks like tomorrow will see surf to 2-3ft, while a fetch of severe-gale W/SW winds moving under us Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning will generate Wednesday's larger W/SW groundswell.
As the front continues moving east it will change its track slightly and project a little more north-east, resulting in the swell shifting more SW later Wednesday and more so into Thursday before easing later in the day.
Size wise, Wednesday looks to offer surf to 4-5ft out of the W/SW, shifting in direction later, and then easing from 4-5ft or so on Thursday morning out of the SW.
Winds tomorrow will be favourable and out of the W/NW all day, though stronger into the afternoon and then gusty out of the W/SW on Wednesday, strong and poor from the SW Thursday.
Friday looks excellent as the SW groundswell continues to ease from Thursday afternoon from 2-3ft with N/NW tending N/NE offshores.
The outlook for the weekend is a little tricky as the models diverge on the strength and track of a polar front moving in from the south-west. GFS has a stronger and better aligned low, while EC is weaker and not great for swell production. Therefore we'll have to have a closer look at the weekend's outlook on Wednesday.