thermalben

Strong cyclone swell ahoy!

South-east Queensland and Northern NSW Surf Forecast by Ben Matson (issued Wednesday 12th February)

Best Days: Thurs/Fri: building, sizeable cyclone swell peaking Thurs in SE Qld and Fri in Northern NSW, only suitable for sheltered locations. Sat/Sun: initially strong but rapidly easing surf in Northern NSW, with good beaches in SE Qld. Lots of fun waves next week too, initially small then a good SE swell.

Recap: Surf size maintained 3-4ft sets across SE Qld on Tuesday, slightly bigger south of the border with 4ft+ sets, and 4-5ft+ across parts of the Mid North Coast. Wave heights have eased a little across the Mid North Coast today, but muscled up ever so slightly throughout Far Northern NSW and SE Qld, with sets in the 3-5ft range. What’s interesting is that whilst this size increase is sourced anecdotally (and from yours truly), including a corresponding swing in the swell direction, the regional buoy network doesn’t support these observations so I’m a little cautious to use them as a proxy for inbound energy. We are however seeing new lines of cyclone swells at Agnes Water (see below), so we know it’s on the way!

Nice lines of building cyclone swell at Agnes Water this afternoon

Chunky sets across the Narrowneck stretch

Plenty of energy at D'Bah

This week (Feb 13 - 14)

On the balance, there are no major changes to the Forecaster Notes for this upcoming cyclone swell event.

There are a few small points of discussion worth tabling though.

Thursday will see a step-ladder increase in surf size through the day. Since Tuesday, TC Uesi has been nicely positioned within our swell window, though its initial developments were slightly off axis. It’s really only been the last 24 hours where NE gales have had time to generate strong, (relatively) long period surf for our region. 

To give some bearing, TC Uesi is expected to be at Port Macquarie latitudes by Friday morning. However, most of the swell generating fetch (relative to our coasts) will be on TC Uesi’s south and east flanks, which means by Friday morning, our swell window will effectively shut down - though remember, there is a half to one day lag on the swell's arrival. 

As mentioned on Monday, SE Qld will see the upwards trend and peak size earlier than locations to the south. As a general rule of thumb, late Thursday will probably see the biggest waves across the Sunshine and Gold Coast, whilst early Friday is more likely across Northern NSW (early afternoon across the Mid North Coast). However, its forward speed will result in a much shorter peak of maximum of surf size, so let’s hope it doesn’t peak under the cover of darkness Thursday night (SE Qld is at greatest risk of this happening). 

For what it’s worth, I think TC Uesi is travelling a little too fast (and also slightly off-axis of the swell window) to allow for a captured fetch scenario, which could otherwise significantly enhance wave heights.

We also have to remember that TC Uesi will spend a greater amount of time in the swell window for more southern locations (i.e. Mid North Coast) than northern locations (i.e. Sunshine Coast), which means when assessing the overall size potential, we’ll probably see the largest waves south of the border for this event. 

One of the interesting points about the peak in size is that we’ll see a concurrent mix of swell trains in the water. 

There’ll be a mix of smaller NE swell being overtaken by larger E/NE swell, and late Friday will see a new E’ly tending E/SE mid-range swell (mainly just the Mid North Coast), originating from a new E’ly tending E/SE fetch across TC Uesi’s southern flank, as it pushes against a ridge to the southwest and decouples its internal structure under an extra-tropical transition.

Because each beach responds to different combinations of swell sizes, periods and directions (and tides!), you can be sure that your local will undergo a number of significant mood changes throughout the day as each swell train pulses and ebbs. 

So, how much size?

TC Uesi is a great looking system, and we’re going to see some sizeable waves over the coming days. Exposed Northern NSW coasts should reach 8-10ft at the height of the swell on Friday (earlier in the north, later in the south), and we’ll probably see smaller surf across SE Qld (say, late Thursday 8ft+ Gold Coast, 6-8ft Sunshine Coast). Expect an easing trend across SE Qld on Friday, whilst wave heights will be reaching a peak in Northern NSW. 

Local winds are the only wildcard, as they’ll tend anti-clockwise as TC Uesi passes to our south. We’ll see freshening SE tending S’ly winds across northern regions on Thursday, but freshening easterlies are a risk across the Mid North Coast. Into Friday, winds will become S’ly across most of Northern NSW - moderate to fresh at times in the morning, but easing through the day. Conversely, we’ll see SW breezes throughout SE Qld. 

This weekend (Feb 15 - 16)

And as quickly as it came, it looks like the departure will also be swift over the weekend. Though, conditions look great with mainly light winds. 

Wave heights will ease steadily on Saturday, with early sets around 3-5ft across SE Qld, 4-6ft throughout much of Northern NSW and some bigger bombs across the Mid North Coast, thanks to the secondary E/SE swell. However, size will be easing steadily from the get go and by mid-late morning will be down by a foot or two, before levelling out into Sunday. 

All in all, lots of fun options just about everywhere this weekend. 

Next week (Feb 17 onwards)

Steady trades will provide fun small beachies across most open stretches for Monday and early Tuesday.

Ex-TC Uesi will merge with a cold front in the Southern Ocean on Sunday, near the SW tip of New Zealand’s South Island. This will result in strengthening S/SE gales, that will tend more SE and slide below the South Island into Monday and Tuesday (see below). 

This will be better aimed towards Southern NSW but we’ll see some nice waves across Northern NSW mid-week. The first SE swell will build throughout Tuesday afternoon (2-3ft sets), with larger waves filling in later Wednesday and Thursday. Max surf size should reach about 4-5ft at south facing beaches though it’ll be smaller elsewhere, and I’m not expecting much across SE Qld, just a few stray 2-3ft sets at the exposed northern end of the Gold Coast (smaller on the Sunshine Coast). 

The long term still has tropical cyclone potential in and around the Fijian region, though it’s a long time away and will probably occur in our far swell window, which will limit surf size. So, there’s no shortage of options to look forward to, but future significant swell events will more than likely be sourced more locally. 

So, that’s it for now - see you Friday!

Comments

dangerouskook2000's picture
dangerouskook2000's picture
dangerouskook2000 commented Wednesday, 12 Feb 2020 at 7:21pm

“Steady trades will provide fun small beachies across most open stretches for Monday and early Tuesday.”
....if we got any beaches left....

Rockethut's picture
Rockethut's picture
Rockethut commented Wednesday, 12 Feb 2020 at 8:07pm

Yay I can't wait to surf crowded snapper and kirra and dodge all the cunts getting in the way on the open face and dropping in time and again. And the smell of jetski fumes always makes my day even better.

NickT's picture
NickT's picture
NickT commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 10:33am

Have you ever considered that crowded Snapper is a great thing? It draws in a massive crowd of GC surfers to one location, leaving other locations far less crowded

nextswell's picture
nextswell's picture
nextswell commented Wednesday, 12 Feb 2020 at 8:32pm

Lack of fumes and plenty of space (if you want it) just a touch south Rockethut

Rockethut's picture
Rockethut's picture
Rockethut commented Wednesday, 12 Feb 2020 at 9:01pm

Take me with you on the next swell and I'll bring the pipe.

SDW's picture
SDW's picture
SDW commented Wednesday, 12 Feb 2020 at 9:20pm

Got some crackers this morning on the Sunny Coast. Yesterday around lunchtime was awesome too. Been a great week.

Nogaryno's picture
Nogaryno's picture
Nogaryno commented Wednesday, 12 Feb 2020 at 10:43pm

Plenty of waves round

Matilda0213's picture
Matilda0213's picture
Matilda0213 commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 6:11am

Tweed buoy been knocked out?

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 6:18am

Looks to be the case, though prob just a transmission failure. 

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 6:19am

Here we go! Swell already looking strong, and we're still 12+ hours away from the peak.



​​​​​​​

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 6:24am

As expected, Noosa looking a treat.
​​​​​​​

SDW's picture
SDW's picture
SDW commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 6:26am

Be mad if the Coolum surf cam got fixed one day...

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 10:02am

It's still streaming fine, just not panning.

I'm heading up there in the next fortnight to upgrade a bunch of cams, this one will be included.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 6:26am

Colours changing minute-by-minute at Snapper with the regional rain/sunrise combo.
​​​​​​​

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 6:35am

Agnes still pulling in some fun sets.
​​​​​​​

Feralkook's picture
Feralkook's picture
Feralkook commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 8:09pm

Now I know why my colleague from work moved back there. Beats Townsville swell ;)

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 7:03am

Swell to the side for one moment.. we've had another wet 24 hours (in fact it really hasn't stopped raining for the last week). Since 9am yesterday:

Clothiers Creek (just behind Cabarita) recorded 162mm (747mm in the last eight days)
Kingscliff recorded 132mm (718mm in the last eight days)
Cudgera Creek (Pottsville) recorded 122mm (758mm in the last eight days)
Upper Burringbar Rd recorded 225mm (551mm in the last eight days)
Belongil recorded 83mm (606mm in the last eight days)
Tallow Ck Bridge recorded 95mm (611mm in the last eight days)
Cape Byron recorded 95mm (603mm in the last eight days)
Ballina Airport recorded 60mm (480mm in the last eight days)
Wooli recorded 189mm (574mm in the last eight days)

mick-free's picture
mick-free's picture
mick-free commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 7:51am

Ben, wow 225mm in less24 hours. We had 486.5mm here Mid North Coast over 3 days. Total 508 for the 4 days. Garage got flash flooded. With flow through Smiths Lake is now half a meter off from being full.

http://new.mhl.nsw.gov.au/Site-209465

Mick Free FIFOFOMO

johnruciak's picture
johnruciak's picture
johnruciak commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 9:40am

Adelaide had 358.0 MM......
last year

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 7:07am

"OK lads, who's up for the next set? Was it you Jason, or Daniel, was it your turn? I can't remember".

Walk around G's picture
Walk around G's picture
Walk around G commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 1:02pm

Yeh.....Nah, you guys can have that. When it gets like that down here, I'll throw in the towel:( sooo sad.

linez's picture
linez's picture
linez commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 7:15am

Hahaha, yeah just watched it for a few minutes. Can you imagine the carnage out there?

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 7:28am

Big set breaking out past the Boiling Pot.

And here's what it did:




thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 7:34am

Kirra is pumping.

tomrnoir's picture
tomrnoir's picture
tomrnoir commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 8:09am

Sunshine Coast - 230mm of rain in the past 24 hours. Disgusting river water at Alex.

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 8:42am

Bucketing down in Byron , swell strong ish. Definitely got a cyclone swell look to it.

stunet's picture
stunet's picture
stunet commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 9:44am

Add low clouds and steel grey ocean, and yep looks cyclonic.

mick-free's picture
mick-free's picture
mick-free commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 9:36am

Looks bigger now. East swell reverse sweep too so adds to the crowd.

Mick Free FIFOFOMO

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 9:47am

Deep!

udo's picture
udo's picture
udo commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 9:48am

Lord Howe set for a flogging eh

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 12:09pm

ECMWF has the cyclone passing just to the east of LHI.

​​​​​​​

GFS has it passing right over the top.
​​​​​​​
​​​​​​​

Robo's picture
Robo's picture
Robo commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 10:28am

Must be nice living somewhere with a point and offshore wind.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 10:30am

SE Qld rainfall figures to 9am are equally impressive:

Tewantin - 157mm
Coolum - 217mm
Sunshine Coast Airport - 232mm
Maroochydore - 140mm
Cape Moreton - 158mm
South Straddie - 186mm
Gold Coast Seaway - 178mm
Miami - 165mm
Burleigh Waters - 161mm
Cooly Airport - 146mm

mbl88's picture
mbl88's picture
mbl88 commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 10:33am

9:31 on the snapper cam. Watch the replay old mate gets a bomb.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 12:34pm

Wow!

linez's picture
linez's picture
linez commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 12:56pm

Surely that's the wave of the day

NickT's picture
NickT's picture
NickT commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 1:04pm

Holy shit that's amazing! The whole pack is all losing it afterwards. I think that might be Sheldon Simkus. You can see the water angle here,

https://www.instagram.com/p/B8fNfVmAvh5/?igshid=1n9fp5rpsdd0q

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 10:37am

Sick of the crowds at Noosa? There are big empty lefts reeling off at Sunshine.

Just gotta paddle out, that's all.

Dannon's picture
Dannon's picture
Dannon commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 10:22pm

One hell of a paddle Ben...
Put on your big boy pants !!!

waxyfeet's picture
waxyfeet's picture
waxyfeet commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 11:00am

To the 4 fellas at Noosa doing Jetski shuttles. Slim chance you're reading this, but you're a cunt.

Your waves are free for all, don't be surprised if you see this bald fella dropping in on you.

hugs n kisses xxx

Surfalot67's picture
Surfalot67's picture
Surfalot67 commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 12:50pm

Gold comment WF. Was watching the came thinking its hardly tow assist size - wankers

gingeryeti's picture
gingeryeti's picture
gingeryeti commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 3:27pm

People are shit. Just watched them towing in instead. Why even pretend to catch a wave yourself.

tango's picture
tango's picture
tango commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 2:56pm

They're still out there now, chopping it up for everyone. Taser, anyone?

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 11:09am

Not a bad size for First Point Noosa!

How's these sets steaming through Nationals.

adsi's picture
adsi's picture
adsi commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 11:13am

Garbage around byron, too big everywhere outta the bay, and the bay is terrible, didn’t both checking Lennox but imagine that’s the only place any good with a snapper-esque crowd

Ardy's picture
Ardy's picture
Ardy commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 11:24am

Noosa is a circus with swell , sunshine some spots looked surfable but you need goood arms

donweather's picture
donweather's picture
donweather commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 11:54am

There’s all of about 3-4 spots in SE QLD that can handle these swells. I never bother anymore. I have my plans on the back end.

PL's picture
PL's picture
PL commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 11:53am

Maroochy River mouth had a cranking left in some very muddy water. Long paddle. Mooloolaba is firing up too.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 12:02pm

Brisbane buoy (off North Straddie) looking great on the spectral.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 12:32pm

Lunchtime options at Middleton, South Oz. Sorry, Rainbow/Greenmount/Cooly.

Surfalot67's picture
Surfalot67's picture
Surfalot67 commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 12:51pm

Haha - nice Ben, safe to say we've found the max size for the bank right now.

Surfalot67's picture
Surfalot67's picture
Surfalot67 commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 12:40pm

Noosa looks bigger now. Still not jet-ski assist size though....what absolute wankers.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 12:44pm

Much fuller and fatter with the midday high tide. Still some lovely walls through First Point though (how's the cutty in the second frame!).



dannyp's picture
dannyp's picture
dannyp commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 12:52pm

It’s not just Noosa that’s firing on the SC today... not too often we sunny coasters get the pick of the conditions on these swells but I can’t think of anywhere I’d rather be today. Man... almost surfed out. Almost.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 2:13pm

NickT's picture
NickT's picture
NickT commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 3:57pm

A few people in the comments are saying it was Parko including one who said he has the footage, he must be the guy you see filming at the end. I guess the footage will be all over social media in the near future

redclement.'s picture
redclement.'s picture
redclement. commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 2:42pm

Wish I was back at noosa. Claudia and even Damien produced good waves here on the Gacoyne coast but nothing like the east coast.

kaiser's picture
kaiser's picture
kaiser commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 2:44pm

Tweed has been declared natural disaster area

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 3:42pm

By the local surfers re: wave quality?

kaiser's picture
kaiser's picture
kaiser commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 5:38pm
thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 6:56pm

To be fair, there are fucking potholes everywhere at the moment.

Sheepdog's picture
Sheepdog's picture
Sheepdog commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 3:01pm

Hows the superwank? I mean superbank? bahahahahaha....
And Kirra looks like a joke. Currumbin alley no good.... Burleigh no good.....
Basically we have a decent 6 foot cyclone swell hitting the gold coast, but just 2 sections ( outside snapper and wiiiiiiide kirra) handling it. This exact same swell during the 70s, 80, or 90s would have at least 5 points lit af. Kirra and little groyne kirra would've been epic today

Sheepdog

uncle_nico's picture
uncle_nico's picture
uncle_nico commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 3:28pm

Maybe reassess the situation when the swell direction goes more ESE-SE and the winds improve.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 3:23pm

The surfing version of Soggy Sao

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 3:23pm

Heard some poor lass got stuck at Enos and was getting smashed against the rocks for 5 minutes before some legend went down the cliff and saved her life. Sounded heavy but great job mate!

mbl88's picture
mbl88's picture
mbl88 commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 3:33pm
Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 3:35pm

Cook as in burning carnts. That's so poor!

dannyp's picture
dannyp's picture
dannyp commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 3:49pm

How’s old matey? Next level kookery.

tomrnoir's picture
tomrnoir's picture
tomrnoir commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 3:51pm

Goodness gracious me, how's the etiquette.

Sprout's picture
Sprout's picture
Sprout commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 3:55pm

There's officially too many people on the planet and surfing's officially ruined, officially.

stunet's picture
stunet's picture
stunet commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 3:35pm

Unbelievable burn.

Ape Anonymous's picture
Ape Anonymous's picture
Ape Anonymous commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 4:09pm

Can see how it would happen:
-deep in the barrel, steep wall, can't actually see over the shoulder and see (the dude) inside the barrel
-dude in the barrel might have paddled around everyone or come fresh from the beach -not waiting his turn
-dude in the barrel may have gotten too many barrells already??
-blatant drop in..?????
Hard to judge what's going on without being out there, GC and SC are always a shit fight -do what Mick Fanning does -whistle, or, make lots of noise, go really fast, wear a helmet and hold a lance, wear a mask, act any kind of crazy, grunt a whole lot, don't swear but just paddle up to people and ask them really perplexing questions to throw them off.
Start a punk band?
Maybe part of the Gold Coast surfing reserve protection legislation should include clauses about mandatory fun (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EY6YMP7iUzE&list=PLqWseOMDUsq3HPkK2j1vZK... ) and/or no generic pop-out boards allowed??

Mata's picture
Mata's picture
Mata commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 4:18pm

4 Jetskis @ head high Noosa

One guy just did a jet ski step off at Nationals

LOL

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 4:31pm

Not sure why the trailers for these skis aren’t being targeted at the boat ramps they launched from.

A cordless angle grinder employed by a concerned Coronavirus masked citizen sends quite the message.

Ape Anonymous's picture
Ape Anonymous's picture
Ape Anonymous commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 4:48pm

Not something I'd ever do, but: razor blade to the tyre valve -subtle and effective.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 5:10pm

Some people only understand consequences.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 4:34pm

You beauty!

 

kooklife's picture
kooklife's picture
kooklife commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 4:47pm

aaaannndd now there's a ski at Snapper!!!! what is wrong with people

Sprout's picture
Sprout's picture
Sprout commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 5:14pm

Another sick one at 4:12pm Snapper cam.

llama's picture
llama's picture
llama commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 5:18pm

was gonna say same thing. Good to see it wasn't a step off one either. Coned off his nut!

NickT's picture
NickT's picture
NickT commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 8:22pm

Amazing. I love the cam replays, you can go back only 45mins or an hour previous and scroll along the time line to the moment a set wave approaches

grog-an's picture
grog-an's picture
grog-an commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 5:52pm

I hope DHD provides us with another kook of the day clip this cyclone!

WORDY SAID IT, SO BAD LUCK!!

hawk's picture
hawk's picture
hawk commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 6:07pm

Says the guy who doesn’t have a ski, has very sore arms and 2 over the falls in 4 hrs. I would of loved a ski!
FYI noosa was way above head high, too big, wrong angle, and tide too high. But it seemed like there was 3 swells in the water, which could cancel out the former.

Y

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 6:33pm

Chundering through at Snapper.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 6:50pm

No shortage of size.

Kirra ain't really handling the sets.

gingeryeti's picture
gingeryeti's picture
gingeryeti commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 7:12pm

Anyone using a ski is fair game for dropping in on.

Ape Anonymous's picture
Ape Anonymous's picture
Ape Anonymous commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 8:15am

Dangerous! Like playing chicken with a car towing a pointed skateboard at night

ringmaster's picture
ringmaster's picture
ringmaster commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 7:16pm

'Chundering'.......I like that as an adjective to describe the surf, Ben.

Good work!

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 7:42pm

wow , Kirra is a mess.

massive here on dark. breaking way the fuck out there.

hopefully rideable tomoz.

mugofsunshine's picture
mugofsunshine's picture
mugofsunshine commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 8:02pm

Wore my RC watch today. Got a chip in on the bommie outside Eno's/middle of T tree. 38kmh 648m. Came in at Little Cove. Did the run around to TT four times. I'm beat.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 8:04pm

Bloody hell. Well done!

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 8:41pm

Crazy!! Very well done.

Island Bay's picture
Island Bay's picture
Island Bay commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 8:37am

That makes me happy!

Bloody good effort.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 8:06pm

Anyone care to put a size on things today?
 

Seemed to generally come in pretty close to expectations but I would prefer a few more opinions to validate wave heights.

nick.minor's picture
nick.minor's picture
nick.minor commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 8:46pm

6-8 sunny. Lots of empty good looking waves on the northern open stretch

FreddyWaters's picture
FreddyWaters's picture
FreddyWaters commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 8:49pm

6ft down most of the goldy

Ben Harding's picture
Ben Harding's picture
Ben Harding commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 2:28pm

6-8 easy at snapper from when I was down there, 2 till 630ish.

(Edit - bomb clean up sets behind the rock/north froggies easily 8ft+ on further memory recall)

blow-in-9999's picture
blow-in-9999's picture
blow-in-9999 commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 8:07pm

Arm still fucked a solid beating a local slab on monday. So many waves missed.

nextswell's picture
nextswell's picture
nextswell commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 8:58pm

Just North of Coffs hammered. 800mm thus far in feb, Tues night we got 190mm from 9-12pm. Looking forward to some swell and kind winds. Well deserved, paddle arms in good shape from brooming flood water.

Troppo's picture
Troppo's picture
Troppo commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 9:47pm

I've gotta say, it was nice to surf Kirra today (with only a few hundred of my closest friends) without jetskis in the lineup.
Previous swells - as many of you have commented on- have been a debacle with skis running the in-crowd back up to the take off to wait for the next set.
Nice to think that maybe law and order has been reset.

lostdoggy's picture
lostdoggy's picture
lostdoggy commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 10:41pm

Sounds like they heard noosa is fair game and headed there.

Tristan Goose's picture
Tristan Goose's picture
Tristan Goose commented Thursday, 13 Feb 2020 at 11:36pm

Strange, I didn’t see anyone get angry at Noosa today. Did people get angry at them in person when they were at the goldy?

lostdoggy's picture
lostdoggy's picture
lostdoggy commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 9:00am

I can't say for either location.
They were dishing out fines at Kirra and snapper during Oma and there seems to be a lot less skis this swell in cooly, and there have been swells smaller than this with a lot of skis.
Mainly sticking to Currumbin where I don't think there's any paddlers at the moment.

kooklife's picture
kooklife's picture
kooklife commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 9:26am

just saw 4 skis on the kirra cam.........

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 6:22am

There's a bloke on this first frame, at Kirra.

Lots of wash-throughs though.


But... between sets...

Ape Anonymous's picture
Ape Anonymous's picture
Ape Anonymous commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 8:18am

The wash throughs are kind of cool though: always wanted to take off outside (wide) of snapper and (cruise) surf the wash throughs all the way into Kirra. If one picks the right line, should be a barrel at the end.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 7:02am

Noosa is a fraction of the size this morning. But looking very pretty.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 7:33am

Agnes Water on the pump!

Still some sizeable lefts at Sunshine Beach. 

Alex Headland looking quite attractive.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 7:34am

There's a lotta water moving through at Snapper. No wonder the lineup is empty.



thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 7:41am

What's also incredible is how most of Northern NSW looks to be in the 10ft range - out of the eastern quadrant - yet Byron looks much, much smaller. It's probably due to the low tide, and will undoubtably change a lot throughout the day, but I haven't see anything bigger than 1-2ft at The Pass yet. The bombie in the middle of the Bay is bigger but still, not that big relative to the regional swell size.

(As a side note, I'm really stoked with the dual cam setup at Byron, as per the images below - this way we get a tight zoom on the action, but also a wide angle showing what's happening right across the Bay).

Both frames below taken at exactly the same time.

mbl88's picture
mbl88's picture
mbl88 commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 8:51am

Would you say swell is to big and strong and focusing all it's energy on the outside hence it being way smaller at the pass or just wrong angle of swell/tide?

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 10:21am

Yep, the magic numbers are all wrong for Byron right now.

-frothmonster-'s picture
-frothmonster-'s picture
-frothmonster- commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 12:47pm

Watched it for a while last night and there was so much water pushing wide that there were surging waves breaking back in towards the rocks (in a westerly direction). Super strange !

lostdoggy's picture
lostdoggy's picture
lostdoggy commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 9:03am

Does the pass ever get over 4 foot on the actual bank that people surf?
Maybe the odd 6 foot behind the rock on higher tides but very rare.
Seems to do much better on medium swells with the right angle.

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 9:02am

No one at snapper?
Empty on the cams

lostdoggy's picture
lostdoggy's picture
lostdoggy commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 9:06am

Too much sweep.

Correct me if I'm wrong, Ben but yesterday morn the swell was N of E and today S of E?

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 9:26am

Yep.

Hastoes's picture
Hastoes's picture
Hastoes commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 4:13pm

Paddled out next to the key hole, took about a dozen waves on the head, finally got out to clean water. had a look round to see there was only 6-8 people in the line up. By the time I got to get a wave there was a hungry pack of at least twenty - thirty . Big lulls then big clean up sets with a lot of energy. Stoked just to be out there. Good buzz and generally good behaviour mixed with the odd drop in fuckers.

aj

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 10:04am

Difficult to put a size on it this morning, but I'd put the Tweed Coast around 10ft, give or take. 
​​​​​​​

Ben Harding's picture
Ben Harding's picture
Ben Harding commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 10:16am

Unreal photo

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 10:25am

Thanks mate.

tomrnoir's picture
tomrnoir's picture
tomrnoir commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 10:27am

Beautiful - if those people weren't in the way, this photo would be frameable on the wall in my office.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 11:44am

Incredible, reverse Nias!

Tristan Goose's picture
Tristan Goose's picture
Tristan Goose commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 10:49am

Some raw footage of Boiling pot Noosa yesterday morning. Swell grew a lot bigger throughout the day as well

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=B8QptpMUrRI&t=1459s

Sprout's picture
Sprout's picture
Sprout commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 12:25pm

Sick one at 28:10

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 11:20am

Oh, Kirra.



bruzzz's picture
bruzzz's picture
bruzzz commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 11:39am

No respect in the lineup

Smol

gingeryeti's picture
gingeryeti's picture
gingeryeti commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 11:55am

Big angry beachbreak wedges this morning with zero crowd with a joy ride rip out the back. One happy yeti,

Ben Harding's picture
Ben Harding's picture
Ben Harding commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 12:15pm

Way out the back of South palmy looked mean as anything this morning...boys out with skis having a ripper start to the weekend!

udo's picture
udo's picture
udo commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 12:28pm

High tide and the 9 mile bombie is breaking.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 12:37pm

It's insane down here in Manly, 10ft late morning, possibly touch bigger now :o

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 12:57pm

Wow - compare Noosa to this time yesterday.

gunther's picture
gunther's picture
gunther commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 2:06pm

Just as crowded though!

nick.minor's picture
nick.minor's picture
nick.minor commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 3:01pm

Worse. Had some cunt bail his board directly Infront of me without even looking.

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 3:15pm

6-10ft here. bombs.

adsi's picture
adsi's picture
adsi commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 3:32pm

Much much better here today than yesterday, waves in the bay easy 4-5 + looking like the ments, never seen so many barrels here in the 4 years I’ve lived up this way .
Stoked af

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 3:34pm

The Pass is maybe 2ft, perhaps 2-3ft if we're lucky. And this is with both the morning low tide, and the arvo high.

Incredible that it's eight to ten feet elsewhere. Magic numbers at play for sure.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 3:36pm

Chocolate milkshakes coming out of the Tweed!


tomrnoir's picture
tomrnoir's picture
tomrnoir commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 3:40pm

The Manly cam is doing a great job at sapping my productivity.

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 3:41pm

not really magic numbers, during most big swells the Pass is a reform, sometimes a reform of a reform.
Wasn't even breaking at all during Oma.

Wreck was solid this morning, as were some of the outer bombies.

Sprout's picture
Sprout's picture
Sprout commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 4:05pm

Apparently a south end lake spot has raw sewerage from a broken pipe with signs up to steer clear, I'd give it a miss for a day or two if you're down there.

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 5:55pm

Still sizey and plenty of push this afternoon.

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 6:17pm

it was a big mistake getting the 6'6"and not the 7'6", by the time I went home, fed the chooks and came back Huey had cranked the dial right up.....nightmare on elm street getting off the rocks.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 6:26pm

What were the waves like ?

Did anyone score ?

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 7:15pm

affirmative

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 7:12pm

Saw you standing there for ages, thought you showed good patience FR.
Yeah fucking undergunned!
That 6’6” would’ve felt small, my 7’2” felt pretty small.
And Glen Curtis toying with it like it’s 3 foot.

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 7:18pm

Bloody solid in my books Blowin.
Usual story, the power and amount of water moving was significant.
Wore a 6ft double up on the head on the way out and on the way in.
Finger depressions in the rails I’m sure :)

Island Bay's picture
Island Bay's picture
Island Bay commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 7:23pm

Good on ya!

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 8:05pm

Noosa this morning.

Walk around G's picture
Walk around G's picture
Walk around G commented Friday, 14 Feb 2020 at 8:39pm

Nice shot from above of a once pristine location, but a shitfight circus below...... it is now, unfortunately. Increased population growth is awesome for Australia just ask any politician.

More people=more growth= more jobs=more taxes,=more, more, more of everything good.... right?

Tristan Goose's picture
Tristan Goose's picture
Tristan Goose commented Saturday, 15 Feb 2020 at 4:25am

Not so popular sunny coast point was pumping on the high tide today... only a handful of people out as well!!