The coming days look poor with onshore winds spoiling a new swell Friday, improving into the weekend and much better. Next week is active.
A slow week (not in the Maldives) with some better swell prospects for next week.
The tradewind fetch is a little weaker than forecast but we’ll still see a reasonable ridge up the QLD coast and some fun waves over the next few days.
We’ve got a reasonably strong high (1032hPa) sitting in the Tasman, with NE winds aimed at Tasmania, slowly drifting NE and weakening as it does so over the next 36-48hrs with the last of a series of powerful storms tracking across the lower Tasman. In the absence of a high pressure ridge we’ll see N to NW’lies.
We've got a slower period with funky wind this week.
A fun swell with cleaner conditions is due tomorrow, with a decent window of building swell and clean conditions Thursday. The weekend looks large and stormy.
The trough is expected to move offshore and merge with a more tropical derived depression to form a large trough of low pressure in the Tasman over the weekend. This has been a feature of synoptic prognostic charts for a few weeks now, with forecasts generally tending to weaken and fall apart as the event unfolds.
A trough will extend along the East coast before a front through the latter half of the week brings vigorous S’ly winds by Fri. The trough is expected to move offshore and merge with a more tropical derived depression to form a large trough of low pressure in the Tasman over the weekend. This has been a feature of synoptic prognostic charts for a few weeks now, with forecasts generally tending to weaken and fall apart as the event unfolds. Lets hope this one comes to fruition to deliver some chunky S-SE swell.
We've got less reliable swells and winds over the coming week, ahead of a strong new W/SW groundswell early next week.
As winter nears an end, the run of excellent surf and conditions begins to fall apart.
