We’ll see a new high move into the Tasman over the weekend with a SE surge developing up the Tasman and into the Coral Sea. That should see some rideable surf develop under SE-E winds through Sun into Mon and extending into Tues before easing.
Sunday is looking very sizey indeed as the fetch ramps up with low end gales off the coast of Tasmania extending up towards Bass Strait and the Gippsland coast.
Troughiness next week does offer potential for low pressure development in the Tasman but we’ve got high model variability so confidence is very low in the outcomes.
Troughiness next week does offer potential for low pressure development in the Tasman but we’ve got high model variability so confidence is very low in the outcomes.
A high pressure ridge across the state will bring light morning winds and afternoon sea breezes on Tuesday, as wave heights continue to ease.
Saturday morning looks great at Victor with easing swells and freshening northerly winds as a vigorous front approaches from the west.
Into the weekend and a fetch tracking NE towards WA related to the decaying front brings a nice pulse of S/SW swell for the weekend.
The models have a juicy mid-latitude low forming just west of Tasmania over the weekend which could lead to some very dynamic surf conditions.
Weak high pressure remains in the Tasman with weak breezes in the Coral Sea already contracting eastwards. That may see some gusty rideable surf tomorrow but quickly dissipating back to tiny/flat through the rest of the week.
Another unstable, troughy week ahead with humid, unstable air over the continent creating a series of troughs, one of which forms a slow moving trough of low pressure off the Mid North Coast which interacts with a weak high pressure cell drifting in the Tasman. That will supply some workable E/NE quadrant swell along with more local E swell.
