A very weak troughy pattern is unfolding this week with a weak high pressure (1016hPa) cell moving into the Tasman today as a trough stalls about the Far North Coast. Another trough tomorrow brings a shallow S’ly change which again looks to stall out on the North Coast before another weak high cell moves into the Tasman late this week. In short, no major swells expected.

Weak high pressure in the Tasman is holding a very weak fetch of SE winds in the Coral Sea which is adding minor amounts of energy to a tradeswell on it’s last legs.

A passage of weak but favourable frontal system should generate small, fun surf from Sunday.

Longer term and we’ll be watching the South Pacific Convergence Zone for signs of low pressure development near Fiji later next week, possibly even retrograding back towards the Australian continent.