A blast of S swell before back to NE swell next week

freeride76

A blast of S swell before back to NE swell next week

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Return flow off the back of a retreating high is feeding N’ly winds into the trough line. We’re expecting a front to interact with the trough overnight Thurs to form a low pressure trough in the Tasman. This trough then absorbs another trough of low pressure moving south from the South Pacific islands to form a large area of low pressure near New Zealand

A minor downgrade (again!) but still a workable mixed bag of S and E swells ahead

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A minor downgrade (again!) but still a workable mixed bag of S and E swells ahead

freeride76

This trough then absorbs another trough of low pressure moving south from the South Pacific islands to form a large area of low pressure near New Zealand. Compared to Mondays notes the components of this complex pattern all look a little weaker and more mobile with reduced swell generating potential, but we will still see some useful pulses from the various incarnations of the broad pattern.

Low in the Tasman to start spring, but another downgrade likely

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Low in the Tasman to start spring, but another downgrade likely

freeride76

There’s a troughy pattern in play at present, with a long trough snaking from inland QLD down to the Central/Southern NSW Coast. Return flow off the back of a retreating high is feeding N’ly winds into the trough line. We’re expecting a front to interact with the trough overnight Thurs to form a low pressure trough in the Tasman.

NE windswell episodes mixed with small S swell pulses this week and into the weekend

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NE windswell episodes mixed with small S swell pulses this week and into the weekend

freeride76

We’ve got a reasonably strong high (1032hPa) sitting in the Tasman, with NE winds aimed at Tasmania, slowly drifting NE and weakening as it does so over the next 36-48hrs with the last of a series of powerful storms tracking across the lower Tasman. In the absence of a high pressure ridge we’ll see N to NW’lies.