Craig

Generally poor weekend, a touch better next week

South Australian Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 8th November)

Best Days: South Coast possibly early Sunday, Mid Coast Sunday afternoon, South Coast Monday morning, South Coast possibly early Wednesday

Recap

Strong onshore winds and semi-stormy waves on the Mid Coast yesterday and today, with a larger building swell on the South Coast with OK conditions in protected spots, on the ease today and deteriorating.

This weekend and next week (Nov 9 - 15)

The weekend isn't looking too flash at all with winds due to remain onshore for the most part along with weaker mid-period swells.

The swell seen yesterday and this morning will fade, though weaker fronts moving in from the west today and south-west tomorrow will generate reinforcing mid-period SW and S/SW swells.

Middleton is likely to drop back to 3ft tomorrow, with a reinforcing S/SW swell Sunday maintaining 3ft surf, with the Mid Coast easing from 2ft+ and back to 1-2ft on Sunday on the favourable parts of the tide.

Winds tomorrow look fresh out of the SW all day, while Sunday might be a touch better with the chance for an early W'ly down South, SW otherwise, while the Mid should improve as a light to moderate morning SW breeze tends more variable through the day.

Monday is still the pick for the South Coast with easing S/SW sets from 2ft off Middleton, best at Waits and Parsons for more size and power along with fresh N/NE tending N/NW winds.

Looking at the outlook into the middle to end of the week, and the models have converged on the developments of a trough moving in from the west and we'll see this being a weak system, but attached to its base, a stronger low is forecast to form.

The low should generate a fetch of W/SW gales in our southern swell window Sunday and Monday, weakening while broadening over Tasmania on Tuesday.

A moderate sized S/SW groundswell is due off the low, building through Tuesday but the trough will unfortunately bring onshore S/SW winds to both coasts, more W/SW-SW on Wednesday and hopefully W/NW early around Victor.

Size wise we'll hopefully see easing 3ft+ waves off Middleton, tiny on the Mid Coast.

Following this we'll see further mid-latitude storm activity into the end of the week, relaxing from next weekend allowing winds to swing back to the east. More on this Monday though/ Have a great weekend!