Eastern Tasmania Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 2nd November)

Best Days: South swell magnets Wednesday morning, protected northern corners later Thursday, Friday and Saturday morning north-east facing beaches

Recap

Average and tiny start to Saturday with a building N/NE windswell through the afternoon. The swell came it at a better 2-3ft across the coast through yesterday morning before kicking stronger to 3-4ft through the day.

This morning the swell was easing back from 2ft with S'ly winds, favouring protected southern corners.

This week and weekend (Nov 3 - 8)

Today's S'ly change should kick up a small but weak S/SE windswell later today, which is expected to ease through tomorrow from the 2ft range across south facing beaches. A strong new S'ly groundswell is due into the afternoon though, produced by a vigorous polar low that was to the south of the state yesterday.

This should kick to 3ft+ across south facing beaches and then ease from 3ft or so on Wednesday morning.

Winds unfortunately will be poor for south facing beaches tomorrow morning and from the S/SW, but lighter E/SE breezes are due into the afternoon. Wednesday morning should be fun early at south facing beaches with a N'ly tending strong NE breeze.

Now, as we head into Wednesday evening and the end of the week, a strong, broad and elongated fetch of NE winds are due to develop off our coast, extending all the way up the NSW coast, feeding into a deepening inland surface trough.

This should kick up building N/NE swell, from 3ft+ or so Thursday morning to a solid 4-5ft later in the day. A change is expected to push through on Friday morning and this should see the swell easing from a good 4-5ft across north-east facing beaches with W'ly tending fresh SW winds, favouring these locations.

Come Saturday there should still be lingering levels of NE swell from a broad and strong fetch persisting off the NSW coast, easing from 2-3ft or so. Fresh S/SW winds will persist as a secondary change pushes up the coast and this should kick up a building S'ly windswell but only to 2-3ft or so across south swell magnets.

Longer term we're likely to see some small NE windswell into early next week again, but more on this Wednesday.