Guy Dixon

Solid groundswell due late Monday into Tuesday

Java, Bali, Lombok, Sumbawa forecast by Guy Dixon (issued Friday 20th May)

This weekend (Saturday 21st - Sunday 22nd) and next week (Monday 23rd onward):

The surf will gradually fade following today’s pulse, with sets gradually easing from the 6ft range on Saturday.

A slight period pulse into Sunday is not expected to provide a significant increase in size, but instead maintain sets in the 6ft range for most of the day, preceding a stronger pulse due on Monday.

A light/moderate easterly trade flow is expected to persist throughout Saturday, easing marginally and tending more southeasterly.

We have been monitoring a strong frontal progression which has been pushing up from the Heard Island region with good alignment to WA’s South West. South/southwesterly core winds of 35-45kts have been surging northward throughout today generating swell for WA, but energy will also continue northward towards Indonesia by early next week.

The long range forerunners off this system are due to fill in on Monday morning, with the bulk of the size expected late in the day. Solid sets are forecast to build to the 10-12ft range by the late afternoon, holding at a similar size into Tuesday morning.

With no significant energy immediately following this swell front, we can expect a steady easing trend in the days following. Sets should ease from around 8ft on Wednesday, more so from the 4-6ft range on Thursday.

A moderate east/southeasterly trade flow should dominate for the majority of the week.

The next best pulse is due from Thursday into Friday steered by very similar system. More detail next week.

 

16 day Bali Forecast Graph 

16 day East Java Forecast Graph

16 day Sumbawa Forecast Graph

Comments

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml commented Sunday, 22 May 2016 at 5:19pm

Any reports from indo about the waves lately ? Are the conditions lining up for waves soon ?

udo's picture
udo's picture
udo commented Sunday, 22 May 2016 at 5:29pm

Some big outside corner Ulu recently..very uncrowded.

# Autophagy for Health - Just do it #

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot commented Sunday, 22 May 2016 at 5:34pm

Mm mm sounds tasty

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml commented Sunday, 22 May 2016 at 5:53pm

Indo - fiji - nw oz , the crowd focus thins out !

udo's picture
udo's picture
udo commented Sunday, 22 May 2016 at 6:59pm

Slim from Baliwaves has a heap of pics up from the 16th ,Padang and a few big Ulu ones.

# Autophagy for Health - Just do it #

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot commented Wednesday, 25 May 2016 at 5:43pm

Pumping start to the season! Hope it continues through june!

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot commented Friday, 27 May 2016 at 9:17pm

Hey guys when will the next forecast be going up??
Cheers

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Saturday, 28 May 2016 at 6:03am

Craig's back next week, Indo forecasts will resume then.

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot commented Saturday, 28 May 2016 at 6:46am

ok thanks ben

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml commented Monday, 30 May 2016 at 1:21pm

Hefty west swell in wa yesterday should be a beast upon arrival in indo

belly's picture
belly's picture
belly commented Monday, 30 May 2016 at 2:13pm

I arrive Tuesday week so my chart scanning has been a little longer term, and I'm liking the look of the low forming this Thursday into Friday S/SE of Heard - I think it's going to be too big for me or I'll need some serious shadowing :-)

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml commented Monday, 30 May 2016 at 10:31pm

Sadly a guy died surfing gnaraloo yesterday , 10ft & heavy as fark swell

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Monday, 30 May 2016 at 11:48pm

Got any details Caml ?

If it's true .... I believe it was only a matter of time.

southey's picture
southey's picture
southey commented Tuesday, 31 May 2016 at 12:43am

Confirmed severe facial injuries , presumed drowned . 55 yr old ?!? Male .
Unconfirmed as Rossco ? Uncertain . I hope it's not Ross Rutherford !
RIP . Whoever . ?

" SA's Reserve Capacity "

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Tuesday, 31 May 2016 at 8:08am

Sad to hear :(

Swell kicking solid yesterday..

 

Another day another swell. Check our webcams at balibelly.com

A photo posted by Bali Belly (@balibelly) on

udo's picture
udo's picture
udo commented Tuesday, 31 May 2016 at 8:42am

dylanshapes insta.
Putting a new 8'0 on rail at Ulu yesterday.

# Autophagy for Health - Just do it #

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml commented Tuesday, 31 May 2016 at 8:14am

Bliwin thats correct , I noticed my own tone & orhers when discussing this incident that there was no surprises it happened because it is truly a heavy break with much danger along that reef