Submitted by blindboy on Wed, 09/06/2017 - 20:14
With Irma being the strongest ever Atlantic storm. It is worth revisiting Hansen's paper. I posted this before but can't find which thread it was in.
It's still got a way to go with respect to lowest minimum pressure, as for sustained winds, it's up their with the best of them. I hope for safe haven for the people of the Leeward islands, greater Antilles and eventually Florida.
Radical stories/photos/video coming out of the Caribbean this morning - apparently Barbuda has been completely wiped out.
Anyone think it's a chance of missing the Panhandle all together !?
" SA's Reserve Capacity "
The eye might miss but with its width it will still do some damage. Here's hoping it is much less than current predictions.
Predicted to skirt the edge of the peninsular but doubt it will escape damage.
It's only a cat 3 at the moment.
Low vertical wind sheer in the next 6-12 hours of its path along with hyper warm water says to me it may reach Cat 5 ( American scale ) before landfall . After that sheer increases ( although that forecast has been easing ) . So I would expect atleast a low Cat 4 on crossing . And with my own gumption , I'm suggesting that crossing will be much further north and slightly west of where they keep shifting it . Systems this size and strength start to influence their own steering influences , given its already reached Cat 4 again hours ago. Should become expected to lessen its curve the more strength gained . So missing that coast altogether is not out if the picture .
The media beat up continues.
Deadly storm !
The result ?
3 deaths . All from traffic accidents .
Yet on an Average day in Florida 7 people die in car crashes , so you could actually say that the storm made Florida safer.
Compared to ~1200 dead in Bangladesh / Nepal in the recent floods which left 2/3 (!) of Bangladesh under water. Try and find a recent news story about it.